2025 NFL Week 1 early odds: Can Bengals cease Week 1 woes? Eagles favorites over Micah Parsons-less Cowboys

And we’re again! In the end, the 2025 common season has arrived, and a full slate of NFL motion is on our doorstep. What a time to be alive! Not solely will we be sitting again and watching our favourite groups start what all of us hope is a push in the direction of a Lombardi Trophy, however we’ll additionally look to make slightly scratch alongside the best way. In that pursuit of everlasting glory and a bloated bankroll, it is time for us to start our weekly custom as soon as once more and look at the early traces for the week. 

In contrast to traces we’ll see develop within the weeks to return, the Week 1 odds have been out for fairly some time. Particularly, traces dropped nearly in lockstep with the schedule launch from again in Could. With that in thoughts, these odds have had time to marinate, which makes for an interesting dive into how Week 1 is crystallizing. 

Week 1 early odds

(All traces through SportsLine consensus odds; all video games on Sunday except famous)

Notable motion, developments

Cowboys at Eagles (Thursday)

The season begins with a whopper within the Micah Parsons-less Cowboys heading to Philadelphia to tackle the defending champion Eagles. After all, the final week has been dominated by the seismic commerce of Dallas’ star go rusher, and the traces have moved away from Jerry Jones’ membership. After opening at Eagles -7, the chances moved up a half-point to -7.5, crossing over the landing threshold. Unsurprisingly, the whole additionally ticked as much as 47.5 after opening at 46.5. 

Final season, the Eagles gained and coated each video games in opposition to the Cowboys. Traditionally, Dallas has been a good guess out of the gate, notably in opposition to divisional opponents. Since 2017 (Dak Prescott’s second season), the Cowboys are 8-0 on the ML and 7-1 ATS in division video games within the month of September. Nonetheless, Prescott is 2-11 (ML and ATS) in his final 13 begins (together with playoffs) as an underdog, so one thing might want to give. 

Chiefs at Chargers (Friday, in Sao Paulo) 

Kansas Metropolis has largely held as a 3-point favourite for the reason that open, however the line has jockeyed at numerous books between Chiefs -2.5 and Chiefs -3.5. After all, this can be a impartial website sport in Brazil, in order that brings with it one other variable to consider. Regardless of the worldwide angle to this contest, this can be a acquainted spot for Patrick Mahomes as he finds himself favored over the Chargers for the twelfth straight time. Kansas Metropolis has additionally been fairly snug starting the season away from Arrowhead, as they’re 6-0 (ML and ATS) within the final six Week 1 video games away from dwelling. The franchise can also be 3-0 (ML and ATS) all-time in worldwide video games. 

Equally as spectacular, the Chargers are additionally stellar when they’re outdoors of Los Angeles, proudly owning a 5-0-1 ATS document within the final six Week 1 video games away from dwelling. In contrast to the Chiefs, nevertheless, the membership is 0-3 ATS all-time in worldwide video games. 

Dolphins at Colts

Indy is a slight dwelling favourite over the Dolphins, because the 1.5-point unfold has held this summer season. Whereas the unfold has been at a standstill, the whole jumped as much as 47 after initially opening at 45.5. That may very well be as a result of Colts naming Daniel Jones as their beginning quarterback, giving books a greater sense of how the Indianapolis offense might run. 

With Daniel Jones underneath heart, it will be attention-grabbing to see if he can shake what has been traditionally poor begins to the common season for the Colts. Over the previous 10 years, the Colts are 0-9-1 straight-up in Week 1 and are 1-8-1 ATS. Over that stretch, they’ve a -10.2 factors per sport differential. Equally, the Dolphins wish to keep away from a repeat of final season once they went 1-3 over the primary month and did not cowl any of their opening 4 matchups. 

Bengals at Browns

Are of us following the “fade Bengals in Week 1” pattern? The Browns opened as a 6-point dwelling underdog, however that quantity has since been guess down under the important thing quantity, and Cincinnati is now a 5.5-point street favourite. It is onerous to not blame them if that is the case. In any case, the Bengals are 1-9 straight-up and 3-7 ATS in Week 1 and Week 2 when Joe Burrow begins. If that pattern continues and the Browns pull off the upset, they’d be cashing what’s roughly at +200 ticket. Cleveland did identify veteran Joe Flacco the beginning quarterback, giving them some expertise underneath heart coming into Week 1 whereas rookies Dillon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders function backups. 

Giants at Commanders

The Commanders have been the Cinderella of the 2024 season due to the emergence of Jayden Daniels. What does he do for an encore? That looms as one of many main questions that might outline the 2025 season. Final season, Washington gained and coated each video games in opposition to the Giants, the primary time that is occurred since 2011. Right here, they stand as 6-point favorites at dwelling, an space they thrived in final season, the place Daniels was 7-2 ATS. In the meantime, New York will look to keep away from extending their horrid streak in Week 1. Within the final eight openers, the Giants are 1-7 (ML and ATS). As for the whole, it stands at 45.5, and bettors could also be eyeing the Underneath after it went 11-6 in Giants video games a season in the past. It’s value noting, nevertheless, that Russell Wilson’s presence might change the calculus there. 

Cardinals at Saints

The chances have relatively dramatically shifted additional in the direction of the Cardinals. Initially, Arizona opened as a 4.5-point street favourite, and because the season has inched nearer, that quantity has ballooned to -6.5. This comes as New Orleans oversaw a lukewarm quarterback battle that in the end ended with Spencer Rattler being named QB1. That does not create the best ceiling for the Saints, notably in opposition to an underrated Arizona protection. The Cardinals have additionally begun seasons on excessive notes, proudly owning a 4-0 ATS document of their final 4 street video games in Week 1. Furthermore, Kyler Murray has been a street warrior for bettors in his profession. The Cardinals quarterback has a 25-12-2 ATS document on the street in his profession. That 67.6% cowl fee is the second-best by a beginning quarterback since 1970. 

Panthers at Jaguars

A few intriguing storylines collide inside this matchup between Carolina and Jacksonville. For the Panthers, it stays to be seen if Bryce Younger’s sturdy end to 2024 really means the previous No. 1 choose has turned the nook. Talking of No. 1 picks, how will Liam Coen rework Trevor Lawrence? Upon taking a look at these odds, the Jaguars are favored by a discipline aim, however cash could also be approaching Carolina. This sport opened with the Jaguars laying 3.5 factors, and the road has since dropped the hook to make it Jaguars -3. That may very well be of us shopping for into Younger, who was 7-2 ATS over his final 9 begins final season. In the meantime, the Jags are 1-6 (ML and ATS) of their final seven dwelling video games in September. As for the whole, it is held at 46.5. The Over was a mixed 22-12 between these two video games final season. 

Raiders at Patriots

Individuals appear to be shopping for right into a New England bounce again. The brand new-look Patriots — spearheaded by first-year head coach Mike Vrabel — initially opened as a 1.5-point favourite over the Raiders. That quantity has since bumped up in the direction of a discipline aim with the house membership laying 2.5 factors. For as a lot as New England is being lauded for its revamp, Las Vegas additionally comes into Week 1 with a brand new regime after hiring Pete Carroll and buying and selling for Geno Smith. That new duo will look to snap an 11-game straight-up dropping streak as an underdog. Apparently, the whole on this sport moved all the way down to 42.5 after opening at 43.5 after each groups improved on offense, and following a season the place the Over was a mixed 20-14 between the 2 of them. 

Steelers at Jets

Who does not love slightly revenge narrative? Not solely will Aaron Rodgers be taking over his former Jets squad, however Justin Fields will probably be squaring up in opposition to the Steelers after these two quarterbacks primarily swapped locations this offseason. Pittsburgh finds itself as a street favourite, however the line has moved again in the direction of the house membership considerably. The Steelers initially opened as a 3-point favourite, however have since ticked under the sector aim threshold to -2.5. Quarterbacks apart, Mike Tomlin has usually gotten his gamers prepared to fireplace on all cylinders in Week 1, notably on the street. Within the final 4 street Week 1 video games, the Steelers are 4-0 (ML and ATS). On the opposite sideline, Jets first-year head coach Aaron Glenn will look to alter the fortunes of the franchise, and that might begin with a greater exhibiting out of the gate. Since 2017, New York is 6-20 straight-up and 7-19 ATS in September. 

Buccaneers at Falcons

The Buccaneers have been the category of the NFC South for the final half-decade and are favored to as soon as once more sit atop the division. If there was a crew to knock them off, nevertheless, it might be the Falcons, who’ve Michael Penix Jr. coming into 2025 because the full-time starter. Regardless of the promise round Atlanta, the Bucs have the sting within the eyes of the oddsmakers. Tampa Bay opened as a 1.5-point street favourite, and that quantity has since grown to Buccaneers -2.5. This motion comes regardless of Atlanta sweeping the season collection (each ML and ATS) a yr in the past. That may very well be attributable to Todd Bowles’ stellar Week 1 document. The Bucs head coach is 6-1 ATS in Week 1 in his profession, which features a 3-0 ATS document as a Week 1 favourite. Regardless of each of those offenses boasting some explosive offensive expertise, the whole has moved down from 48.5 to 46.5. 

49ers at Seahawks

The general public could also be betting on a San Francisco rebound. After an injury-filled season in 2024, the Niners come into Week 1 as a 2.5-point street favourite over the Seahawks, who will usher in Sam Darnold as their new quarterback. This unfold is knocking on the door of a discipline aim after initially opening at 49ers -1.5. San Fran wasn’t variety to bettors down the stretch final season, proudly owning a 1-8 ATS document over its closing 9 video games in 2024. As they appear to get that rotated, the Seahawks will hope they will keep away from a repeat of their 1-5 ATS document as a house underdog from a season in the past. 

Titans at Broncos

The opening slate has lots of one-score spreads, however one of many uncommon exceptions to that reality may be present in Denver, the place the Broncos host the Tennessee Titans as a 7.5-point favourite. The Titans are coming into 2025 after ending with the worst document within the NFL a season in the past, which additionally featured a 2-15 ATS document (worst in a season since no less than 1970). Nonetheless, these struggles did carry them No. 1 total choose Cam Ward. Will a brand new quarterback assist them flip issues round? Possibly. However Week 1 will probably be a slog because the Broncos have been 8-0 ATS as a favourite final season and have been 11-5-1 ATS total. 

Lions at Packers

Welcome to Lambeau Area, Micah Parsons! The Packers will usher of their star go rusher with a scrumptious matchup in opposition to their division rival, the Detroit Lions. That commerce could have helped swing the chances relatively dramatically because the Lions opened as a 1.5-point street favourite. Now, it is Inexperienced Bay that’s now the favourite, laying 2.5 factors. Traditionally, the Lions have owned this matchup as of late, as they’re 6-1 straight up in opposition to the Packers of their final seven matchups to go together with a 5-1-1 ATS document. Jared Goff has additionally been improbable to start seasons, coming into 2025 with an 8-0 ATS document in Week 1 in his profession. 

Texans at Rams

With Matthew Stafford’s offseason again points seemingly behind him, the Rams are 2.5-point favorites in opposition to the Texans in Week 1. Whereas the eye will probably most be paid to the quarterbacks (Stafford and C.J. Stroud), the top teaching matchup is attention-grabbing from a betting perspective. Houston’s DeMeco Ryans is 1-6 ATS as a head coach in September, which features a 0-4 ATS run final yr. General, the Texans have struggled to start the season away from dwelling, as they’re 2-6 straight-up and 1-7 ATS in street Week 1 within the final 20 years. In the meantime, Sean McVay is 4-0 ATS as a favourite in Week 1 in his teaching profession, however the Rams are coming off a season the place they went 0-3 ATS as a house favourite. 

Ravens at Payments

Buffalo holds as only a 1-point favourite over the Ravens after this line initially opened at Payments -1.5. These are two of the elite groups within the AFC, and this rivalry has been a story of two tales from a betting standpoint. Over the past 5 regular-season video games between these two, Baltimore has coated. Nonetheless, Buffalo has coated each of their latest playoff head-to-heads, which embrace their divisional spherical matchup final season. The Ravens are additionally 7-1 (ML and ATS) in street primetime video games since 2022. 

Vikings at Bears (Monday)

The entire for this NFC North showdown has bumped down a noticeable quantity, because it sits at 43.5 after opening at 45.5. That may very well be enjoying off the Underneath proudly owning a 20-14 mixed document between these two final season, together with the Underneath hitting in six-straight primetime video games involving Chicago. As for the unfold, it has flipped completely. The Bears opened as a 1.5-point favourite, however now it is Minnesota laying the 1.5 factors. Regardless of now being favorites, the Vikings are 0-6 straight-up and 1-4-1 ATS of their final six street primetime video games.