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2025 NFL workforce win totals, odds, picks, greatest bets: Broncos breakout? Again the Pack after Micah Parsons deal

Madisony
Last updated: August 30, 2025 8:49 am
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2025 NFL workforce win totals, odds, picks, greatest bets: Broncos breakout? Again the Pack after Micah Parsons deal
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Dallas CowboysJacksonville JaguarsKansas Metropolis ChiefsPhiladelphia Eagles

Prepared or not, the NFL is again! The common season is lower than every week away when the Philadelphia Eagles open up Lincoln Monetary Discipline, unveil their latest Tremendous Bowl championship banner, and tackle the Dallas Cowboys to get Week 1 off the bottom. From there, it will be a mad sprint to Santa Clara for Tremendous Bowl LX, and there might be quite a bit that goes down between at times. And we will give our greatest guesses as to how some groups could fare in 2025.

As we do yearly, we have corralled our CBS Sports activities staffers and tasked them with offering their predictions on numerous subjects surrounding the upcoming season. Right here, we’ll be diving into their greatest Over/Below win complete bets. 

Earlier than we get going, here is a take a look at the panel making their picks: Pete Prisco, Jared Dubin, Josh Edwards, Jordan Dajani, John Breech, Garrett Podell, Zach Pereles, Cody Benjamin, and yours actually. 

Whereas we’ll record each workforce and their present Over/Below odds for the season, not each membership might be zeroed in by our panel for a greatest guess. In these instances, we’ll present our leans on their win complete. Let’s get to it! 

NFL odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Over 8.5 (-120) | Below 8.5 (+100)

Lean: Over 8.5. There isn’t any denying the expertise the Cardinals have on protection, and that is anticipated to be the workforce’s power in 2025. First-rounder Walter Nolan will start the 12 months on PUP, which takes some wind out of their sails, however they nonetheless have fellow rookie Will Johnson within the secondary and free agent signee Josh Sweat screaming off the sting. This guess actually is determined by the way you challenge Kyler Murray and the offense. I like Marvin Harrison Jr. to take a step ahead in 12 months 2, and the likes of Trey McBride and James Conner ought to make this a serviceable unit that will get to no less than 9 wins. 

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  • Over 7.5 (-135) | Below 7.5 (+115)

Lean: Below 7.5. Appears like they could be a 12 months away from true rivalry. Sure, they’ve the fourth-easiest schedule within the NFL, however attending to eight wins takes quite a lot of blind religion in Michael Penix Jr., who’s coming into his first season because the full-time starter. Whereas Atlanta did double-dip at cross rusher within the first spherical of the NFL Draft this spring, it isn’t a assure that each come out of the gate firing on all cylinders. This seems like a scrappy 7-10 workforce in 2025 that’ll take critical momentum into 2026.  

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  • Over 11.5 (-120) | Below 11.5 (+100)

Lean: Over 11.5. This workforce has gone over this quantity in every of the final two seasons, and there is an argument to be made that this 2025 model is the very best we have seen. Lamar Jackson is within the prime of his profession, has a very good (albeit getting older) assortment of ability place gamers, and the protection solely obtained higher with rookie additions like security Malakai Starks and Mike Inexperienced. 

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  • Over 11.5 (-160) | Below 11.5 (+135)

Prisco: Over 13.5 (+230). That appears loopy, however they play in a mushy division and the schedule is favorable. They play most of their powerful video games at house and their longest street journey is to Houston. Oh, and they’re loaded with the MVP at quarterback. 

Sullivan: Over 11.5 (-16). Buffalo has itself a cupcake schedule in 2025 that ranks because the fifth-easiest within the NFL. Even their powerful matchups just like the Ravens (Week 1), Chiefs (Week 9), and Eagles (Week 17) are all at house. We all know that Josh Allen will preserve the offense buzzing at an elite degree, and if the protection can play higher situationally (third-worst on third down in 2024) with their new additions, this might be the No. 1 seed within the AFC. 

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  • Over 6.5 (-130) | Below 6.5 (+110)

Prisco: Below 7.5 (-150). I am not shopping for into the Bryce Younger hype simply but. Plus, they’re the third workforce of their division in my eyes. They’ll have a tricky time attending to eight victories. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+135) | Below (-160)

Prisco: Below 7.5 (+110). This workforce is a 12 months away. It is loopy to suppose that Ben Johnson will step in and repair all the problems in a single season. Plus, the division is brutal. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+155) | Below 10.5 (-180)

Lean: Below 10.5. They paid Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Nice. That they had a kumbaya second with Trey Hendrickson. Great. Are they higher? Defensively, I’ve my doubts. The beginning protection let up factors on each dive they have been on the sphere this preseason, which ought to ship alarm bells off in Cincy. They will put up factors in a prolific trend, however they nonetheless may be capable of cease anybody on protection.  

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  • Over 4.5 (-140) | Below 4.5 (+120)

Lean: Below 4.5. Cleveland is saddled with the second-toughest schedule in all the NFL. Joe Flacco could also be good for a win or two, however the ceiling is not excessive for the Browns in 2025, they usually might discover themselves with the No. 1 general choose when it is all mentioned and performed. 

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Dallas Cowboys

  • Over 7.5 (+115) | Below 7.5 (-135)

Podell: Cowboys: Below 7.5 (-135) The Cowboys’ defensive anticipated factors added (EPA) per play when Micah Parsons was on the sphere was the very best within the NFL since 2021. When off the sphere in that very same span, Dallas has the league’s worst EPA per play, per CBS Sports activities Analysis. That information suggests Jerry Jones made the incorrect transfer in buying and selling him to the Inexperienced Bay Packers. Quarterback Dak Prescott might very effectively put up online game numbers throwing to All-Professional extensive receiver CeeDee Lamb and the explosive George Pickens. Nonetheless, their protection will probably wrestle to get after quarterbacks with out Parsons. This protection might be tough in 2025.  

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  • Over 9.5 (+100) | Below 9.5 (-120)

Sullivan: Over 9.5 (+100). Can Bo Nix and Sean Payton do it once more? Final 12 months, this was a 10-7 squad that surprisingly splashed into the playoff image in 12 months 1 of Nix. Heading into his sophomore season, Denver has improved the roster round Nix with the likes of Evan Engram and a revamped backfield with rookie RJ Harvey. That is to not point out additionally they boast arguably the very best protection within the NFL. They’ve the simplest power of schedule within the AFC West, and I am banking on a repeat 10-win season from Nix and Co. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+120) | Below 10.5 (-140)

Lean: Below 10.5. Detroit might very effectively be the No. 1 seed within the NFC once more and declare the division as a result of they’re oozing with expertise. Nonetheless, the lack of each coordinators, Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn, has to depend for one thing, proper? The Lions additionally face the third-toughest schedule within the NFL this season, and play in a gauntlet of a division within the NFC North. 10-7 might nonetheless declare them the division crown, however it’ll be a rock combat for Dan Campbell’s membership all 12 months. 

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  • Over 10.5 (+105) | Below 10.5 (-125)

Podell: Packers Over 10.5. The Pack is again. The NFL’s youngest workforce lastly added a first-round extensive receiver within the speedy Matthew Golden, and all stories out of Inexperienced Bay make it appear to be he is able to be the workforce’s WR1 early on. Matt LaFleur’s squad was each a prime 10 offense (27.1 factors per sport, eighth-best within the NFL) and a prime 10 protection (19.9 factors per sport allowed, sixth-best within the NFL) final season, and now they’ve continuity in defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley’s scheme coming into a second season along with his playbook. Oh, and Hafley’s prime 10 protection simply added All-Professional edge rusher Micah Parsons in a commerce with the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday. Parsons’ profession comparability via his first 4 seasons performed is actually Corridor of Famer Reggie White: they’re the one two gamers with no less than 12 sacks in every of their first 4 seasons performed. Let the nice occasions roll in Inexperienced Bay.  

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  • Over 9.5 (+105) | Below 9.5 (-125)

Edwards: Over 9.5. Houston had 10 wins throughout a season many thought of a disappointment. They’ve suffered a number of unlucky accidents, however I’ve religion C.J. Stroud can do sufficient together with an improved protection. The one concern is that I additionally just like the Jaguars and will justify three Overs inside this division, however it’s not going to work out for somebody.

Pereles: Over 9.5. Nearly every little thing went incorrect for Houston’s offense final 12 months: Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell each suffered season-ending accidents, Nico Collins missed time as effectively, the offensive line was putrid … and the Texans nonetheless received 10 video games. Anticipate a significantly better offensive scheme, a C.J. Stroud rebound and one of many league’s defenses to hold them to no less than 10 wins; I would contemplate OVER 10.5 (+175) as effectively.

Benjamin: Over 8.5 (-160). Houston is all the time comparatively ignored within the nationwide dialog, and the Texans are much more of an afterthought following C.J. Stroud’s disappointing sophomore dip. The O-line continues to be a query, however a rebound feels inevitable. DeMeco Ryans‘ protection stays scary. And the division is all the time ripe for the taking. 

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  • Over 7.5 (+105) | Below 7.5 (-125)

Dubin: Below 7.5. I can not in good conscience inform you {that a} Daniel Jones-quarterbacked workforce ought to win 8 or extra video games. It appears extra probably that the Colts find yourself shuffling forwards and backwards between Jones and Anthony Richardson, shedding loads of video games alongside the best way.

Edwards: Over 7.5. Indianapolis reached eight wins final season regardless of oscillating forwards and backwards between Anthony Richardson and Joe Flacco. Daniel Jones is just not a sport changer, however he brings a extra secure type of play that ought to permit the workforce to compete in a winnable AFC South throughout a make-or-break 12 months for management. 

Breech: Over 7.5. I am not saying I belief Daniel Jones, however I do belief Shane Steichen to get probably the most out of his beginning quarterback. This workforce received 9 video games in 2023 with Gardner Minshew beginning for many of the season. That they had an unpleasant QB state of affairs in 2024 and Steichen nonetheless managed to guide the workforce to eight wins. In 2025, the Colts have one of many best power of schedules within the NFL. They’ve an underrated protection and an offense that might shock some folks so long as Jones would not flip the ball over 5 occasions per sport. 

Pereles: Below 5.5 (+240). I don’t belief Daniel Jones, and I don’t belief a training workers that might select to belief Daniel Jones.

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Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Over 7.5 (-125) | Below 7.5 (+105)

Lean: Below 7.5. One other workforce that feels a 12 months away. Liam Coen ought to enhance an offense that’s loaded with expertise, however can Trevor Lawrence keep wholesome? Their schedule might actually assist them get to eight wins, however it is a workforce that ought to have extra consideration paid to them in 2026 after they set up their basis. 

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Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

  • Over 11.5 (+110) | Below 11.5 (-130)

Dubin: Over 11.5. Kansas Metropolis has received 12-plus video games in six of Patrick Mahomes‘ seven seasons because the starter. I proceed to record the Over for the Chiefs as my favourite guess on this train, mainly yearly. It is like they’re giving cash away. 

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  • Over 7.5 (+150) | Below 7.5 (-175)

Lean: Below 7.5. Are they higher? Sure. Are they so significantly better that they will double their win complete from final 12 months? Would not really feel prefer it. Las Vegas might be a harder out than in years previous with Geno Smith and Pete Carroll on the helm, however they play in a tricky division with the Chiefs, Broncos, and Chargers are higher on paper. 

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  • Over 9.5 (+105) | Below 9.5 (-125)

Pereles: Below 8.5 (+135). The Chargers completed with the NFL’s top-scoring protection final 12 months, regardless of rating eleventh in yards allowed. Purple zone protection is notoriously fickle from 12 months to 12 months, so a regression there would not shock me. Add in Rashawn Slater’s season-ending harm, and I feel the Chargers find yourself on the backside of a aggressive AFC West after arriving a 12 months early in 2024.

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  • Over 10.5 (+135) | Below 10.5 (-160)

Dajani: Over 9.5 (-125). When you’re frightened of Matthew Stafford’s again holding up, I perceive why you’ll wish to keep away from this guess. However Stafford getting harm is the one approach this does not hit. Davante Adams, reverse of Puka Nacua, goes to be enjoyable to observe, after which the Rams have an extremely proficient protection that was just about historic final 12 months. Keep in mind, this workforce got here only one or two performs away from internet hosting the NFC Championship sport. 

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  • Over 7.5 (-110) | Below 7.5 (-110)

Lean: Below 7.5 (-110). This can be a workforce that feels prefer it’s at an inflection level. In the event that they wrestle to fulfill expectations in 2025, there might be wholesale modifications. The secondary is banged up, there are questions alongside the offensive line, and there is all the time a priority for Tua Tagovailoa’s well being. The underside might fall out from underneath Miami in 2025, particularly as division rivals just like the Patriots and Jets are on the upswing, together with Buffalo. 

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  • Over 9.5 (+115) | Below 9.5 (-135)

Lean: Below 9.5. J.J. McCarthy is among the greatest wild playing cards of all the 2025 season. The Vikings should really feel assured of their former first-round choose as they let Sam Darnold go away in free company and handed over the keys to the franchise to McCarthy this offseason. Does he get them to the identical heights as final 12 months, nevertheless? To me, this seems like a one-step again to take two large steps ahead state of affairs, which means this might be a considerably muted 12 months for Minnesota as they proceed to develop McCarthy. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+110) | Below 8.5 (-130)

Sullivan: Over 8.5 (+110). Yeah, yeah, name it a homer choose if you need, however it’s laborious to not like what New England did this offseason. Mike Vrabel put in as their new head coach ought to elevate the ground from the 4-13 campaigns they endured the final two years. In addition they improved the roster on either side of the ball, headlined by Milton Williams on protection and Stefon Diggs on offense. Extra importantly, this choose rests on Drake Maye taking a 12 months 2 leap, which I anticipate he’ll with a greater O-line in entrance of him. Oh, and the Patriots have the second-easiest schedule within the NFL in 2025. 

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  • Over 4.5 (-130) | Below 4.5 (+110)

Dajani: Below 5.5 (-165). I feel New Orleans is the worst workforce within the NFL coming into this season, and we’ll see each Spencer Rattler and Tyler Shough begin video games. It seems the remainder of the NFC South is ascending, whereas New Orleans is descending.

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  • Over 5.5 (-105) | Below 5.5 (-115)

Lean: Below 5.5. No workforce has a more durable schedule in 2025 than the Giants. It is a who’s who of playoff contenders week after week. Proper out of the gate, they’ve back-to-back street contests with the Commanders and Cowboys earlier than being welcomed house to MetLife Stadium by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Woof. There’s little reprieve after that, as they’ve a stretch the place they face the Eagles twice, the Broncos (in Denver), and the 49ers over the course of a month. Wins might be few and much between for New York.  

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  • Over 5.5 (-145) | Below 5.5 (+125)

Lean: Over 5.5. Given the circumstances, I preferred the cube roll of signing Justin Fields this offseason. First-year head coach Aaron Glenn is aware of firsthand about Fields’ capability, having coached in opposition to him when he was the quarterback of the Bears and the defensive coordinator of the Lions. That has to depend for one thing. If Fields develops even a contact as a passer, the Jets have sufficient expertise on the ability positions to enrich a fierce protection. 

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Philadelphia Eagles

  • Over 11.5 (+115) | Below 11.5 (-135)

Lean: Below 11.5. Even when Philly does go Below right here, 11 wins might very effectively win the NFC East. However take a look at this schedule. It is the fourth-toughest within the NFL and options journeys to Kansas Metropolis, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Inexperienced Bay, and Buffalo.

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  • Over 8.5 (+100) | Below 8.5 (-120)

Breech: Over 8.5. In 2022, Mike Tomlin received 9 video games with a mixture of Kenny Pickett and Mitchell Trubisky enjoying quarterback for him. In 2023, he received 10 video games with Pickett, Trubisky and Mason Rudolph all beginning a number of video games in the course of the season. In 2024, he led the workforce to 10 wins with Russell Wilson and Justin Fields each beginning no less than six video games. Even at 41, Aaron Rodgers is healthier than all of these quarterbacks. I am going to take the over right here. 

Podell: Over 9.5 (+175). The Pittsburgh Steelers return a lot of a defensive core that produced a prime 10 scoring protection (20.4 factors per sport allowed, eighth-fewest within the NFL) with seven-time Professional Bowler Jalen Ramsey buying and selling locations with five-time Professional Bowler Minkah Fitzpatrick. Offensively, the Steelers misplaced younger deep menace George Pickens, however they changed him with two-time Professional Bowl wideout DK Metcalf and now have Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Rodgers did not have an awesome general season with the New York Jets in 2024. Nonetheless, he completed decently, throwing 18 touchdowns to solely 4 interceptions within the final 10 video games, the seventh-best touchdown-to-interception ratio in that span. The additional eliminated Rodgers is from the torn Achilles, the higher he might play. 

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  • Over 10.5 (-110) | Below 10.5 (-110)

Lean: Over 10.5. No workforce has a better schedule within the NFL this season than the Niners in 2025. Not solely is the trail simpler, however they need to additionally see some optimistic regression within the harm division after being ravaged final season. Sure, they’ve seen an exodus of key gamers, however Brock Purdy, Trent Williams, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey nonetheless reside within the Bay Space and may produce an elite offense. In the meantime, do not sleep on what the return of defensive coordinator Robert Saleh might do to that unit. 

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  • Over 8.5 (+115) | Below 8.5 (-135)

Edwards: Over 8.5. Seattle, in concept, has improved its protection. The offensive line ought to be improved sufficient to offset the lack of Geno Smith and I consider Mike Macdonald to be one of many higher coaches within the league.

Benjamin: Over 7.5 (-145). Look, Sam Darnold’s Vikings finale was totally deflating. He additionally launched 30 scores in 2024. His Seattle setup is probably not practically pretty much as good, however is it that far off, particularly while you consider Mike Macdonald’s protection? In a wide-open NFC West, it isn’t laborious to examine them proper again within the wild-card combine.

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  • Over 9.5 (+100) | Below 9.5 (-120)

Lean: Over 9.5. There isn’t any denying that the Bucs have probably the most proficient roster within the NFC South and ought to be a shoo-in to win that division once more. In addition they boast a top-10 best schedule within the league in 2025, so, so long as the offense stays wholesome, they need to be capable of get to 10 wins. 

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  • Over 5.5 (-140) | Below 5.5 (+120)

Lean: Over 5.5. Has there been a extra slept-on No. 1 general quarterback than Cam Ward? This preseason, the Miami product did flash his potential, and ought to be worlds higher than what Tennessee was getting on the quarterback place a 12 months in the past. With an improved offensive line and the eighth-easiest schedule within the NFL, I feel the Titans shock of us and get to 10 wins whereas Ward wins Offensive Rookie of the 12 months (+300). 

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  • Over 9.5 (-105) | Below 9.5 (-115)

Lean: Over 9.5. This one is somewhat iffy. Washington had six wins final season in video games the place they have been both tied or trailing within the remaining 10 seconds of regulation. There might be some regression there. That mentioned, additionally they improved the offense with Laremy Tunsil at left sort out and deepened the receiver room with Deebo Samuel. When you suppose Jayden Daniels avoids a sophomore hunch, take the over. When you suppose these last-second wins are fewer are additional between, chances are you’ll discover their +102 odds to overlook the playoffs interesting. 



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