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Technology

AI’s capability crunch: Latency threat, escalating prices, and the approaching surge-pricing breakpoint

Madisony
Last updated: November 5, 2025 10:21 pm
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AI’s capability crunch: Latency threat, escalating prices, and the approaching surge-pricing breakpoint
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Contents
The economics of the token explosionReinforcement studying as the brand new paradigmThe trail to AI profitability

The most recent huge headline in AI isn’t mannequin measurement or multimodality — it’s the capability crunch. At VentureBeat’s newest AI Affect cease in NYC, Val Bercovici, chief AI officer at WEKA, joined Matt Marshall, VentureBeat CEO, to debate what it actually takes to scale AI amid rising latency, cloud lock-in, and runaway prices.

These forces, Bercovici argued, are pushing AI towards its personal model of surge pricing. Uber famously launched surge pricing, bringing real-time market charges to ridesharing for the primary time. Now, Bercovici argued, AI is headed towards the identical financial reckoning — particularly for inference — when the main focus turns to profitability.

"We don't have actual market charges in the present day. We’ve sponsored charges. That’s been essential to allow numerous the innovation that’s been taking place, however in the end — contemplating the trillions of {dollars} of capex we’re speaking about proper now, and the finite power opex — actual market charges are going to look; maybe subsequent 12 months, actually by 2027," he stated. "Once they do, it’s going to essentially change this trade and drive an excellent deeper, keener concentrate on effectivity."

The economics of the token explosion

"The primary rule is that that is an trade the place extra is extra. Extra tokens equal exponentially extra enterprise worth," Bercovici stated.

However to date, nobody's found out learn how to make that sustainable. The basic enterprise triad — price, high quality, and pace — interprets in AI to latency, price, and accuracy (particularly in output tokens). And accuracy is non-negotiable. That holds not just for shopper interactions with brokers like ChatGPT, however for high-stakes use circumstances reminiscent of drug discovery and enterprise workflows in closely regulated industries like monetary providers and healthcare.

"That’s non-negotiable," Bercovici stated. "You need to have a excessive quantity of tokens for top inference accuracy, particularly whenever you add safety into the combo, guardrail fashions, and high quality fashions. You then’re buying and selling off latency and value. That’s the place you’ve got some flexibility. When you can tolerate excessive latency, and generally you possibly can for shopper use circumstances, then you possibly can have decrease price, with free tiers and low cost-plus tiers."

Nonetheless, latency is a essential bottleneck for AI brokers. “These brokers now don't function in any singular sense. You both have an agent swarm or no agentic exercise in any respect,” Bercovici famous.

In a swarm, teams of brokers work in parallel to finish a bigger goal. An orchestrator agent — the neatest mannequin — sits on the middle, figuring out subtasks and key necessities: structure selections, cloud vs. on-prem execution, efficiency constraints, and safety concerns. The swarm then executes all subtasks, successfully spinning up quite a few concurrent inference customers in parallel classes. Lastly, evaluator fashions decide whether or not the general job was efficiently accomplished.

“These swarms undergo what's known as a number of turns, a whole lot if not hundreds of prompts and responses till the swarm convenes on a solution,” Bercovici stated.

“And if in case you have a compound delay in these thousand turns, it turns into untenable. So latency is actually, actually essential. And meaning sometimes having to pay a excessive value in the present day that's sponsored, and that's what's going to have to come back down over time.”

Reinforcement studying as the brand new paradigm

Till round Could of this 12 months, brokers weren't that performant, Bercovici defined. After which context home windows grew to become massive sufficient, and GPUs out there sufficient, to assist brokers that would full superior duties, like writing dependable software program. It's now estimated that in some circumstances, 90% of software program is generated by coding brokers. Now that brokers have basically come of age, Bercovici famous, reinforcement studying is the brand new dialog amongst information scientists at a number of the main labs, like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Gemini, who view it as a essential path ahead in AI innovation..

"The present AI season is reinforcement studying. It blends lots of the components of coaching and inference into one unified workflow,” Bercovici stated. “It’s the newest and best scaling regulation to this legendary milestone we’re all attempting to achieve known as AGI — synthetic common intelligence,” he added. "What’s fascinating to me is that you must apply all the very best practices of the way you practice fashions, plus all the very best practices of the way you infer fashions, to have the ability to iterate these hundreds of reinforcement studying loops and advance the entire subject."

The trail to AI profitability

There’s nobody reply in the case of constructing an infrastructure basis to make AI worthwhile, Bercovici stated, because it's nonetheless an rising subject. There’s no cookie-cutter strategy. Going all on-prem would be the proper alternative for some — particularly frontier mannequin builders — whereas being cloud-native or working in a hybrid setting could also be a greater path for organizations trying to innovate agilely and responsively. No matter which path they select initially, organizations might want to adapt their AI infrastructure technique as their enterprise wants evolve.

"Unit economics are what essentially matter right here," stated Bercovici. "We’re positively in a growth, and even in a bubble, you would say, in some circumstances, because the underlying AI economics are being sponsored. However that doesn’t imply that if tokens get costlier, you’ll cease utilizing them. You’ll simply get very fine-grained by way of how you employ them."

Leaders ought to focus much less on particular person token pricing and extra on transaction-level economics, the place effectivity and influence change into seen, Bercovici concludes.

The pivotal query enterprises and AI corporations needs to be asking, Bercovici stated, is “What’s the actual price for my unit economics?”

Seen by that lens, the trail ahead isn’t about doing much less with AI — it’s about doing it smarter and extra effectively at scale.

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