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Sports

Upset alert in NFL Week 11? Why these favorites might fall

Madisony
Last updated: November 12, 2025 4:31 pm
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Upset alert in NFL Week 11? Why these favorites might fall
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For the second week in a row, we have been dialed in on figuring out a few of the high upsets on the NFL slate. In Week 10, we appropriately pegged the Packers, Buccaneers, and Browns as favorites on upset alert, and that got here to fruition when all three of these golf equipment misplaced. That is the second consecutive week we have gone 3-for-5, as our solely losses in Week 10 had been the Chargers warding off Pittsburgh and the Ravens edging out the Vikings. Not an ideal 5-0 sweep, however our finger is on the heartbeat. 

As we sit up for Week 11, there are a number of compelling video games, together with 9 division matchups and 6 video games at present inside a field-goal unfold. That leaves numerous room for chaos, and we’re right here to assist sift by way of the insanity and again the appropriate golf equipment.

With that, let’s dive into this week’s basket of favorites who could possibly be on upset alert.  

NFL odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Guess NFL at FanDuel and get $ in bonus bets with a profitable $5 wager.

  • When: 4:05 p.m. ET | The place: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
  • TV: Fox | Stream: (Fubo, attempt without cost)
  • Seahawks ML odds: +138

That is the heavyweight matchup we’re all ready for in Week 11. The Seahawks and Rams are tied atop the NFC West at 7-2, and this sport might very nicely form the division race for the remainder of the season. L.A. is getting the home-field nod as the favourite and laying 3 factors, however Seattle is completely able to heading into SoFi Stadium and pulling out a win. 

The Seahawks have already proven they will go on the street and win, proudly owning a 4-0 straight-up and against-the-spread report away from Lumen Area this 12 months. They boast the third-best scoring offense within the NFL this season (30.6 factors per sport), and that unit will look to make a uncommon dent in a Rams protection that is the second-best scoring unit within the league (17.0 factors per sport allowed). 

This needs to be a lot nearer than the sphere objective unfold signifies, and it would not be a shock if Seattle wins outright. 

Pete Prisco’s Week 11 NFL picks: Seahawks upset Rams in NFC West showdown; Chiefs get a must-win vs. Broncos

Pete Prisco

  • When: 8:20 p.m. ET | The place: Lincoln Monetary Area (Philadelphia)
  • TV: NBC | Stream: (Fubo, attempt without cost)
  • Lions ML odds: +124

Philly gained a hard-nosed sport towards the Packers on Monday and now has a fast turnaround to face an equally powerful NFC North foe within the Lions. The brand new-look Eagles protection with Jaelan Phillips regarded nice towards Inexperienced Bay, however that was towards a unit nonetheless discovering its method with out star tight finish Tucker Kraft. It additionally did not have first-round rookie wideout Matthew Golden, whereas trusted receiver Romeo Doubs left resulting from damage. 

Going through a loaded Lions offense might be a a lot more durable job, with Detroit averaging 31.4 factors per sport (second-highest within the NFL). The Lions even have a league-best 13-2 report in prime-time video games during the last 4 years, so that they rise to the event in these settings. 

In the meantime, the Eagles offense continues to be clunky, which could possibly be resulting from Saquon Barkley not being as environment friendly as he was in 2024. Coming into Week 11, the Eagles operating again is averaging simply 3.9 yards per carry. The Lions run protection is permitting simply 4.0 yards per carry (high 10 within the NFL), so yards could possibly be powerful to come back by. 

  • When: 9:30 a.m. ET | The place: Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • TV: NFL Community | Stream: (Fubo, attempt without cost)
  • Commanders ML odds: +132

It is a potential letdown spot for Miami, which simply pulled off a surprising upset win over the Buffalo Payments in Week 10. Regardless of the win, it is a membership nonetheless going nowhere quick, and now it has to journey to Spain to tackle the Commanders. 

With out Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin, Washington is not any Goliath, however I am curious to see how a lot this protection will change now that head coach Dan Quinn is looking performs. This unit has struggled mightily this season, however there’s the potential of them receiving a spark beneath Quinn’s tutelage. 

In the meantime, Marcus Mariota is a backup quarterback able to main an upset, notably towards a Miami protection that enables 5.9 yards per play (fourth-highest within the NFL) and 25.6 factors per sport (backside 10 within the NFL). 

  • When: 4:05 p.m. ET | The place: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, Arizona)
  • TV: Fox | Stream: (Fubo, attempt without cost)
  • Cardinals ML odds: +128

Jacoby Brissett has thrown for no less than 250 yards and two passing touchdowns in all 4 of his begins this season. His 279.5 passing yards per sport are the second-best of any quarterback from Week 6 to Week 10, and the offense is averaging 24.8 factors per sport with him on the helm. 

We level that out as a result of Brissett will get a tasty matchup towards a banged-up 49ers protection. During the last seven video games, San Francisco surrendered 25.9 factors per sport and is 3-4 over that stretch. If that development continues in Week 11, Arizona ought to be capable to transfer the ball successfully.

On the opposite facet, how a lot rust will Brock Purdy have if he makes his long-awaited return, and can he be capable to shake it off quick sufficient to maintain tempo?

  • When: 1 p.m. ET | The place: Acrisure Stadium (Pittsburgh)
  • TV: CBS | Stream: Paramount+
  • Bengals ML odds: +190

Alarm bells needs to be going off in Pittsburgh after the offense — and particularly Aaron Rodgers — regarded tough in Week 10. 

Sure, the Chargers protection is among the many finest within the NFL, and the Bengals are arguably the worst, however what if Sunday evening’s crack within the armor was greater than only a powerful matchup for Rodgers? If it is a signal that Pittsburgh could also be fading because the second half of the season begins, Cincinnati could possibly be stay despite its poor protection. 

Talking of poor protection, let’s not overlook Pittsburgh’s unit both. The membership has misplaced three of its final 4 video games and is permitting 28.3 factors per sport over that stretch. Joe Flacco is able to lighting up poor defenses with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins at his disposal. In reality, he posted 33 factors towards this very protection again in Week 7. 

Cincinnati can also be well-rested after being on the bye in Week 10, giving them loads of time to organize.



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