A recent Roy Morgan poll reveals One Nation has surged ahead of Labor in New South Wales, capturing 30 percent of primary votes compared to Labor’s 25 percent.
New South Wales Poll Results
The Liberal-Nationals follow with 19 percent, while minor parties and independents account for the remaining 26 percent. These figures suggest a hung parliament if an election occurred today.
On three-party preferred votes, Labor holds 44 percent, One Nation 33.5 percent, and the LNP 22.5 percent.
Premier Chris Minns remains the preferred state leader over Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane. Demographic breakdowns show Minns leading across genders, all key age groups, both Sydney and regional areas, and among supporters of Labor, Greens, One Nation, independents, and other parties.
Fifty-six percent of respondents rate Minns’s first term positively, with 25 percent disagreeing.
Victoria Mirrors the Trend
One Nation also leads in Victoria with 26.5 percent primary votes, edging out Labor’s 25.5 percent. The Liberal-National Coalition stands at 21.5 percent, Greens at 13.5 percent, and independents plus minors at 13 percent, pointing to another potential hung parliament.
Labor maintains an edge on preferences. In two-party preferred matchups, Labor leads the Coalition 52-48 and One Nation 52.5-47.5. Three-party preferred results give Labor 44.5 percent, One Nation 29.5 percent, and the Coalition 26 percent.
A Coalition-One Nation runoff favors the Liberals and Nationals 56-44, as Labor voters rank One Nation last.
Opposition Leader Jess Wilson outperforms Premier Jacinta Allan as preferred premier, with 51 percent support versus 42.5 percent. Wilson leads among men, major age groups, and both Melbourne and regional Victoria.
Allan’s approval stands at 30.5 percent, with 67.5 percent disapproving, while Wilson enjoys 53 percent approval. The survey of 2,462 Victorians ran from February 13 to 16.
