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World Baseball Traditional Tiebreaker Guidelines: How Can USA Advance To Quarterfinals?

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Last updated: March 11, 2026 4:43 am
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World Baseball Traditional Tiebreaker Guidelines: How Can USA Advance To Quarterfinals?
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How Can Group USA Advance To the Quarterfinals?Full World Baseball Traditional Tiebreakers

Two quarterfinal spots, three contenders. Pool B of the World Baseball Classic will go down to the wire with the USA, Mexico and Italy looking to advance to the next round. 

The USA beat Mexico, 5-3, in Monday’s game but lost to Italy, 8-6, on Tuesday.  Italy and Mexico play each other on Wednesday. The other two teams in the pool (Brazil and Great Britain) are eliminated. 

TeamRecord
Italy3-0
USA3-1
Mexico2-1
Great Britain1-3
Brazil0-4

How Can Group USA Advance To the Quarterfinals?

So, what is the easiest path for the USA to advance? Cheer for Italy. 

If Italy beats Mexico on Wednesday, that can clinch Pool B for them. The USA will advance because the Pool B runner-up as they’ve the tiebreaker with Mexico.

If Mexico beats Italy, the Individuals will want some assist. Within the three video games between these groups, the 2 groups that permit the fewest runs-per-out recorded will advance.

The USA allowed 11 runs and recorded 54 outs in its video games in opposition to Mexico and Italy (0.203 runs allowed per out). Italy allowed six runs in opposition to the Individuals (0.222 runs allowed per out), whereas Mexico gave up 5 runs however solely recorded 24 runs in its loss to the USA (0.208 runs allowed per out).

It’ll all get sorted in Wednesday’s recreation between Italy and Mexico. You may know Group USA will likely be tuning in. 

Full World Baseball Traditional Tiebreakers

The 2 groups with the best such percentages in every pool shall advance to the Quarterfinal Spherical. If, on the finish of pool play in Spherical One of many Match, groups inside a pool are tied with an equivalent profitable share, the tie shall be damaged within the following order of precedence:

1) The staff that gained the video games between the groups tied shall be given the upper place. If three or extra groups are tied and a type of groups gained its video games in opposition to all different groups it’s tied with, then will probably be positioned within the larger spot. Equally, if a type of tied groups misplaced its video games in opposition to all different groups it’s tied with, then will probably be positioned within the lowest spot.

2) The tied groups shall be ranked within the standings in keeping with the bottom quotient of fewest runs allowed divided by the variety of defensive outs recorded within the video games in that spherical between the groups tied.

3) The tied groups shall be ranked within the standings in keeping with the bottom quotient of fewest earned runs allowed divided by the variety of defensive outs recorded within the video games in that spherical between the groups tied.

4) The tied groups shall be ranked within the standings in keeping with the best batting common in video games in that spherical between the groups tied.

5) Standings shall be decided by the drawing of heaps, carried out by WBCI.

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