ALDS Sport 3 greatest bets: Julio Rodríguez stays scorching for Mariners in Detroit, Blue Jays ship Yankees packing

Welcome to Day 3 of what seems prefer it’ll be a labor of affection for the remainder of the playoffs. We went 3-0 on Sunday after which 1-1 on Monday. Let’s attempt to make this one somewhat extra Sunday than Monday. We now have the 2 ALDS video games, which will probably be Sport 3 of the Mariners-Tigers sequence and Sport 3 of the Blue Jays-Yankees sequence, serving because the nightcap.  

Strains at this time are courtesy of DraftKings.

Mariners over 3.5 runs (-135)

A great variety of groups hit higher at residence. We’re educated to see that almost all groups usually carry out higher at residence. The Mariners’ offense, nonetheless, is a lot better as soon as it escapes the pitcher-friendly yard at T-Cellular Park. Try the Mariners’ splits: 

At residence: .229/.308/.393, 352 runs

On street: .259/.332/.444, 414 runs

That is 4.34 runs per recreation at residence and 5.11 on the street. We solely have to get 4 right here. 

Jack Flaherty takes the mound for the Tigers and whereas he was higher at residence this season, he wasn’t very spectacular anyplace. The Mariners noticed him in Detroit on July 13 and scored eight runs that recreation. Solely two had been towards Flaherty in 5 innings, however remember they’ve seen a variety of the Tigers’ lackluster bullpen up to now this sequence.

Julio Rodríguez over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-126)

Rodríguez is coming off a game-winning RBI double in Game 2 and he was 3 for 5 with a home run in Game 1. He hit .290/.341/.560 in the second half and, again, keep in mind how pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park is. On the road this season, he hit .296/.341/.571 with 20 doubles, 23 home runs, 60 RBI and 64 runs in 80 games. Too bad he doesn’t get to play home games somewhere else, right? 

Rodríguez has also enjoyed great success in his career at Detroit’s Comerica Park. In 11 games there, he’s hit .381/.490/.833 with four doubles, five home runs, 13 RBI and 16 runs. 

He’s also in a nice lineup spot for runs and RBI, sitting third behind Randy Arozarena and Cal Raleigh and with good lumber behind him. 

I think Carlos Rodón can probably have a pretty good outing against the Blue Jays’ offense, especially since they aren’t in Rogers Centre for this game. The Jays hit better at home, as noted above, like many teams do. They aren’t terrible on the road, though, having hit .260/.327/.407 on the road this season. The Yankees‘ bullpen is in atrocious shape, too, so Rodón has a small margin of error and needs to get very deep into the game to give the Yankees a shot. 

I just think they are cooked here and love the plus money. Shane Bieber throws well enough to keep it close while the Blue Jays’ offense provides a late charge to get over the finish line here.