Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, odds, unfold: Christmas ‘Thursday Night time Soccer’ picks from confirmed mannequin

The 2025 NFL Christmas schedule concludes with a “Thursday Night time Soccer” AFC West battle of groups in a shocking place because the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs host the Denver Broncos. The Broncos (12-3) lead your entire AFC and are chasing a prime seed and a bye within the NFL playoffs. Kansas Metropolis, in the meantime, has been eradicated from the playoff image. Kansas Metropolis is beginning Chris Oladokun at quarterback after dropping Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew to knee accidents in consecutive weeks. Chiefs LB Nick Bolton (sickness) is listed as questionable.

Kickoff from GEHA Area at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas Metropolis is ready for 8:15 p.m. ET. The newest Broncos vs. Chiefs odds have Denver favored by 13.5 factors, in response to DraftKings Sportsbook. In the meantime, the over/beneath for whole factors scored is 38.5, which is a 2-point improve from opening at 36.5. Denver is at -1064 on the cash line (threat $1,064 to win $100). Earlier than making any Chiefs vs. Broncos picks, try the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Mannequin. 

The mannequin, which simulates each NFL recreation 10,000 instances, is up properly over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The mannequin enters Week 17 on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks relationship again to 2024. Anyone following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting websites may have seen sturdy returns.

Now, the mannequin has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Broncos. You’ll be able to go to SportsLine now to see the picks. Listed here are the NFL odds and developments for Broncos vs. Chiefs:

Why the Chiefs can cowl

The Chiefs have not been this massive of an underdog for the reason that 2021 season, so it is a huge variety of factors to be getting for the Chiefs, particularly at residence. Kansas Metropolis has been decimated by accidents at quarterback, however nonetheless has star energy in tight finish Travis Kelce, defensive lineman Chris Jones, receiver Xavier Worthy and others. Even in a the midst of a misplaced season, they will be highly-motivated to keep away from a blowout by the hands of their division rivals within the nationwide highlight. Denver is simply 2-5 in opposition to the unfold on the street and it solely has two double-digit wins this season. The Broncos are additionally coming off a poor exhibiting in opposition to the Jaguars, dropping 34-20 regardless of being 3.5-point favorites in that Week 16 matchup. See which workforce to again at SportsLine. 

Why the Broncos can cowl

Denver has extra to play for because the Broncos have the within monitor for the highest seed within the AFC facet of the NFL playoff bracket. The Broncos already beat the Chiefs 22-19 final month, and that was when Kansas Metropolis had Mahomes and was nonetheless in rivalry, so a a lot larger margin might be in play on this one. The Chiefs are simply 5-10 general this season in opposition to the unfold. They’re additionally simply 1-7 ATS in opposition to high quality opponents (groups which have received 55% or extra of video games) 0-7 ATS in opposition to groups that quit fewer than 21 factors per recreation. Denver ranks fifth within the NFL in scoring protection (19.7 ppg), fourth within the NFL in whole protection (291.6 ypg) and leads the league in whole sacks (63) by a large margin, making life extraordinarily robust on a quarterback with just about no expertise. See which workforce to again at SportsLine.

How you can make Chiefs vs. Broncos picks

SportsLine’s mannequin has simulated Broncos vs. Chiefs 10,000 instances and goes Underneath on the whole, projecting 36 mixed factors. It additionally says one facet of the unfold hits 60% of the time. You’ll be able to solely get the decide at SportsLine. 

So who wins Broncos vs. Chiefs, and which facet of the unfold hits in 60% of simulations? Go to SportsLine now to see which facet of the unfold to leap on, all from the superior mannequin that completed up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception, and discover out.