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Politics

Consultants warn of “vicious spiral” in political violence after Kirk killing

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Last updated: September 11, 2025 4:40 am
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Consultants warn of “vicious spiral” in political violence after Kirk killing
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By John Shiffman, Ned Parker and Linda So

(Reuters) -The assassination of right-wing influencer Charlie Kirk marks a watershed second in a surge of U.S. political violence, one which some specialists concern will inflame an already-fractured nation and encourage extra unrest.

”This occasion is horrifying, alarming, however not essentially shocking,” stated Mike Jensen, a researcher on the College of Maryland, which has tracked such violence in a terrorism database since 1970.

Within the first six months of the 12 months, the U.S. skilled about 150 politically-motivated assaults — almost twice as many as over the identical interval final 12 months, stated Jensen. “I believe we’re in a really, very harmful spot proper now that would fairly simply escalate into extra widespread civil unrest if we do not come up with it,” Jensen stated. “This might completely function a sort of flashpoint that conjures up extra of it.”

Consultants in home terrorism cite a convergence of things for elevated violence within the U.S.: financial insecurity, anxiousness over shifting racial and ethnic demographics, and the more and more inflammatory tone of political discourse. Conventional ideological divides — as soon as centered on coverage disagreements — have morphed right into a deeper, extra private animosity. That anger is amplified by a mixture of social media, conspiracy theories and private grievances.

Reuters recognized final 12 months not less than 300 circumstances of political violence throughout the U.S. between the January 6, 2021, assault on the Capitol and the 2024 presidential election, marking probably the most vital and sustained surge in such violence for the reason that Nineteen Seventies.

“Excessive political violence is more and more turning into the norm in our nation, and the capturing of Charlie Kirk is indicative of a far better and extra pervasive problem: acts of violence have gotten extra widespread, even with none clear ideology or motive,” stated Jon Lewis, a analysis fellow on the Program on Extremism at George Washington College.

“There’s actually a priority about what the blowback to one thing like this may appear to be.”

Different specialists who examine political violence agreed. “Individuals are reluctant to have interaction in violence first, however they are much extra prepared to have interaction in violence as retaliation,” stated Lilliana Mason, a political science professor at Johns Hopkins College. “Nobody needs to be the one to begin it, however a number of folks need to have the ability to end it.”

Kirk, a detailed ally of U.S. President Donald Trump and founding father of the conservative scholar group Turning Level USA, was addressing an outside crowd of about 3,000 at Utah Valley College when a gunshot rang out, sending him tumbling from his chair and attendees fleeing in panic.

Authorities had not but publicly recognized a suspect by Wednesday night, almost six hours after the capturing. FBI Director Kash Patel stated an unnamed “topic” had been detained for questioning after which launched.

Kirk, 31, was a pioneer within the conservative motion and harnessed the ability of social media to lure thousands and thousands of younger People into Trump’s MAGA base.

“Nobody understood or had the Coronary heart of the Youth in the US higher than Charlie,” Trump stated in a social media put up asserting Kirk’s loss of life.

“VICIOUS SPIRAL”

Trump himself was the topic of two assassination makes an attempt final 12 months. In a single, the shooter was killed by authorities seconds after he fired. Within the different, a person was arrested carrying a rifle and scope close to a Palm Seashore golf membership the place Trump was taking part in. His trial started this week.

Along with these, two current high-profile assaults by right-wing conspiracy theorists this 12 months shook lawmakers and authorities staff throughout the nation. In June, a Christian nationalist murdered a senior Democratic state lawmaker and her husband in Minnesota, and wounded a second Democrat. In August, a gunman obsessive about COVID-19 conspiracies sprayed gunfire on the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention headquarters in Atlanta, killing a police officer.

Since January, not less than 21 folks have been killed in political violence incidents, 14 of them in a automotive bomb assault in New Orleans by a jihadist claiming loyalty to the Islamic State group early on New Yr’s Day.

In Might, a pro-Palestinian activist murdered two Israeli embassy staff in Washington, and advised police after his arrest, “I did it for Gaza,” in accordance with court docket paperwork.

In July, a gaggle of not less than 11 militants in black military-style clothes attacked an immigration detention middle in Texas, the Justice Division stated. The group set off fireworks, spray-painted “traitor” and “ICE Pig” on automobiles, and shot a responding police officer within the neck, wounding him, whereas one other sprayed gunfire at detention guards, the FBI stated.

Since returning to workplace, Trump has scaled again efforts to counter home extremism, redirecting sources towards immigration enforcement and citing the southern border as the highest safety menace.

Jensen, the College of Maryland researcher who tracks violence for the Nationwide Consortium for the Research of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism, stated the longer term seems grim.

“That is an administration that, whether or not you agree with it or not, has made profound adjustments to this nation within the eight months it’s been in workplace,” he stated. “Some folks find it irresistible, some folks hate it. The people who hate it are beginning to act out. Individuals who find it irresistible are going to behave out in opposition to these people who hate it, and it turns into a vicious spiral that would lead us into one thing actually, actually unhealthy.”

(Extra reporting by Peter Eisler. Enhancing by Jason Szep)

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