Democratic Nationwide Committee Chair Ken Martin feels assured about Tuesday’s gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, arguing Democrats have the momentum coming off of a collection of overperformances in particular elections this yr.
“If we win these elections on Tuesday, which I feel we’ll, that will probably be an enormous wakeup name to Republicans {that a} wave election is coming,” he mentioned Sunday in an interview with CQ Roll Name on the DNC headquarters in Washington.
However Martin, a former chair of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor occasion who took over as nationwide occasion chair in February, acknowledged {that a} 2026 wave election could not embrace profitable the Senate majority.
“The hill is fairly steep for us to win the Senate again,” he mentioned, earlier than suggesting Democrats might “chip away on the margin sufficient” to be primed to flip the chamber in 2028.
“There may very well be sufficient of a wave election subsequent yr that brings us again into each, each chambers. I gained’t wager towards it. I gained’t wager on it. It’s nonetheless unlikely,” he mentioned. “The likeliest chamber to flip would be the Home.”
Democrats face a frightening Senate map subsequent yr, needing to flip a web of 4 seats to win management. Martin mentioned he felt good about choosing up North Carolina’s open seat, the place Democrats are enthusiastic about former Gov. Roy Cooper’s candidacy.
He additionally mentioned Maine, the place GOP Sen. Susan Collins is up for a sixth time period, “definitely may very well be an actual promise for us if we don’t blow it.”
However for additional positive aspects, Democrats might want to develop the map into pink territory. Martin pointed to Iowa, Alaska, Ohio and Texas as potential pickup alternatives, including that he thought Rep. Jasmine Crockett would be part of the sector of Senate hopefuls within the Lone Star State.
The interview with Martin got here shortly earlier than a deliberate afternoon door-knocking tour in Virginia, the place Democrats need to win again the governor’s mansion. He spent the day prior to this in New Jersey, the place Democrats are hoping to win a 3rd straight gubernatorial election for the primary time for the reason that Nineteen Sixties.
The Democratic nominees in each races —New Jersey Rep. Mikie Sherrill and former Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger — had been each first elected to the Home in 2018, when Democrats gained management of the chamber two years into Donald Trump’s first time period. Martin mentioned each candidates, in addition to New York Metropolis mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani, have emphasised their very own messages round an financial agenda whereas not “taking the bait that the Republican candidates try to set for them on a few of these different points that they need to debate.”
“Although they’re all form of uniquely completely different and symbolize uniquely completely different areas, their via line is affordability and the via line is an financial agenda that they’re providing up,” he mentioned. “And so they’re utilizing, after all, native points for instance that.”
Martin was skeptical that Republican efforts to hyperlink Democratic Home candidates to Mamdani, a self-described democratic socialist, because the Nationwide Republican Congressional Committee has signaled it plans to do, could be efficient subsequent yr.
“They’ll definitely attempt, don’t get me improper,” Martin mentioned. “I haven’t seen that work quite a bit up to now, to be sincere with you.”
Trump’s push for Republican-led states to redraw their congressional maps to assist the occasion defend its Home majority and Democratic makes an attempt to counter these strikes have reshaped subsequent yr’s combat for the chamber.
Martin mentioned he thinks the GOP would have a web achieve of seven seats when each events are finally executed with their redistricting efforts. However, he mentioned, that was nonetheless lower than the 26 seats the occasion out of energy has gained, on common, in midterm elections.
Thus far, GOP-led redraws in Texas, Missouri and North Carolina might assist the occasion web as many as seven seats. California Democrats responded to Texas’ transfer by passing their very own map, which state voters will determine on via a poll measure Tuesday. Martin mentioned he felt assured that Californians would approve Proposition 50, which might assist the occasion decide up as many as 5 seats.
“My hope is that it truly sends a chilling impact to Republicans, they usually cease with this nonsense across the nation. But when they don’t they usually proceed transferring down this highway, we’re going to reply in type,” he mentioned.
Democrats, although, have fewer alternatives to redraw congressional traces in states they management, as a number of give redistricting energy to impartial commissions. Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries has been pushing Illinois Democrats to redraw their map in an effort to squeeze out an additional seat, however state legislators took no motion throughout a latest veto session. Martin mentioned that though Illinois’ candidate submitting deadline for congressional races is on Monday, he didn’t suppose that might utterly shut the door on redistricting efforts within the state.
Martin additionally mentioned he’s anticipating the Supreme Court docket to overturn Part 2 of the Voting Rights Act, a civil rights-era legislation that has been used to make sure majority-minority congressional districts. Such a transfer would considerably have an effect on Democrats’ maintain on a number of Southern Home seats, although it’s unclear if such a choice would come down early sufficient to have an effect on the 2026 elections.
And with pink states akin to Florida and Texas prone to achieve Home seats after the subsequent census in 2030, Democrats must have a long-term technique to grow to be aggressive in additional elements of the nation, Martin mentioned.
“We can not maintain simply investing in a single election cycle,” he mentioned. “In fact, we’ve acquired to win in ’26, however we’ve acquired to do that in a approach that helps us additionally put together for the longer term.”
©2025 CQ-Roll Name, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Go to cqrollcall.com. Distributed by Tribune Content material Company, LLC.
