On the different positions, this week is all about how Week 1 projections look completely different than season-long rankings. At tight finish, which may be fairly apparent. Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland have been rookies we pushed up within the season-long rankings due to their upside, not due to their Week 1 projection. That is why I usually instructed drafting one among Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert, or Jake Ferguson to pair with them. On the identical time, low-end tight ends are such low scorers, I would not essentially say you’ll be able to’t begin Loveland or Warren this week. Simply know that you do not have a lot ground of their debuts. The constructive for Warren is his offense has an implied whole of 24 factors, which is an edge over the Bears‘ 21.5.
One of the crucial disturbing implied totals of the week is the Detroit Lions. It is not that 22.5 is so low. It is that the Lions averaged 33 factors per recreation final yr and solely scored under 23 factors twice. Micah Parsons has one thing to do with this, however it’s extra an expression of the truth that there’s seemingly landing regression coming in Detroit. That may be an enormous downside for Sam LaPorta, whose greatest Fantasy attribute has been stepping into the tip zone. With elevated goal competitors from Jameson Williams, I assumed LaPorta was being drafted too early all summer time, and within the Week 1 projections, he comes out at TE10.
Here is every thing else you must learn about tight finish in Week 1:
Week 1 TE Preview
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
- 4.1 — Mark Andrews averaged 4.1 targets per recreation final yr, his lowest mark since his rookie yr. If Isaiah Seemingly misses Week 1, Andrews’ goal share ought to profit.
- 8.5 — Tucker Kraft has averaged 8.5 yards after catch per reception. I’d say that is George Kittle like, however it’s really higher than Kittle. If he sees even a small improve in targets, he may sneak into the highest 5 tight ends.
- 1.4% — Trey McBride had a laughably dangerous landing price final yr. It may very well be 4 occasions increased this yr, and it nonetheless would not stand out amongst good tight ends. If that occurs and his targets keep regular, McBride may very well be value a Spherical 1 decide.
- 6 — Rashee Rice is out for the primary six video games of the season. Travis Kelce is a must-start tight finish for at the very least that lengthy, do not even give it some thought.
- 13.4% — The Broncos tight finish goal price was 13.4% final yr, the third-lowest mark within the league. We anticipate that to vary with Evan Engram on the town, but when his targets are low in Week 1, will probably be cause for alarm.
- 21 — Zach Ertz had 21 crimson zone targets final yr, second solely to Kelce on the place. He is a Week 1 starter for me.
- 18.5 — David Njoku averaged 18.5 PPR FPPG in 5 video games with Joe Flacco in 2023.
TE Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 1 Streamers (TE Preview)
Sportsline
Sportsline
TE Preview
Heath’s Projections
My full set of Week 1 Fantasy soccer projections for each place are actually out there on SportsLine. You’ll find them right here. Discover out which of my favourite performs are projected to attain increased than consensus rankings and which do not stay as much as their draft hype, at the very least in Week 1. Projected stats for all beginning tight ends can be found, so make sure you take a look at the complete set of projections at SportsLine.