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Sports

Final-minute NFL Week 10 picks and predictions: Why we’re backing a number of street groups

Madisony
Last updated: November 9, 2025 3:16 pm
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Final-minute NFL Week 10 picks and predictions: Why we’re backing a number of street groups
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Welcome to the second half of the 2025 common season! Whereas the Broncos and Raiders formally received us began on Thursday, Sunday’s slate is a full take a look at groups embarking on the stretch run. It is poised to be a chaotic ultimate 9 weeks with groups nonetheless bunched up within the standings. 

As an example, three groups within the NFC West are knotted with six wins and everybody within the NFC North both has 4 or 5 wins to this point. Furthermore, the present playoff image has the likes of the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens on the surface wanting in, whereas groups just like the Buffalo Payments and Detroit Lions are slotted in as wild card golf equipment. Does that maintain all through the second half or do these groups surge again into type? We’ll start discovering that out right here in Week 10. 

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Earlier than we get kickoff — which begins early on Sunday with the worldwide recreation in Berlin, Germany — let’s be sure you’re located together with your bets. Under, yow will discover out 5 greatest bets for the Week 10 slate together with picks for each different contest. 

Groups on bye in Week 10: Dallas, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Kansas Metropolis. 

NFL odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook).

The Patriots are roaring, rolling into Week 10 on a six-game profitable streak. Whereas some suspect that is the spot the place that run ends, I am not one in every of them. I believe the Buccaneers are too banged up offensively and do not match up effectively in opposition to New England’s protection.

Operating again Bucky Irving is as soon as once more out, which leaves Tampa Bay with out its high again whereas going through the NFL’s No. 1 run protection. As for Baker Mayfield’s pass-catching group, it is depleted. Mike Evans will not play as he continues to take care of harm, nor will Chris Godwin. That leaves Emeka Egbuka as the highest goal. The rookie got here out sizzling, however he has simply 117 receiving yards over his final three video games and now may very well be blanketed by Christian Gonzalez.

All of that appears like a recipe for this Bucs offense to wrestle, opening the door for New England to squeak out one other win and transfer to 5-0 on the street in 2025.

Projected rating: Patriots 27, Buccaneers 20
The choose: Patriots +2.5

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This is not an overreaction to the Packers shedding at residence to the Panthers final week. I believe Inexperienced Bay regarded forward to this recreation — and for good cause. This can be a heavyweight showdown that would have No. 1 seed implications within the NFC. In the end, I see this as a foul spot for Inexperienced Bay on a few fronts.

First, Philadelphia can be well-rested coming off its Week 9 bye and has traditionally fared effectively on this spot, proudly owning a 4-0 post-bye report underneath Nick Sirianni. The second cause I am cautious of Inexperienced Bay on Monday evening is the absence of Tucker Kraft, who suffered a season-ending knee harm final week. He has been the important thing cog within the offense, main the staff in receiving yards. With such a younger receiver room, it could take a while for the offense to seek out its new rhythm, and the Eagles’ revamped, post-deadline protection is not the group that may give them many alternatives to take action.

Additionally, do not sleep on this angle: It was the Packers who proposed banning the “tush push” final offseason. The vote failed, however they had been those driving the try and take away it from the league. You possibly can wager Sirianni will use that as a motivator on this head-to-head matchup.

Projected rating: Eagles 23, Packers 21
The choose: Eagles +1.5

There is a twinge of concern that this may very well be a letdown spot for the Payments after taking down the Chiefs final week, however I might be extra nervous in the event that they weren’t trailing New England within the division race. They know they can not afford to lose extra floor, and the Dolphins aren’t geared up to place up a lot of a struggle.

Miami was simply blown out at residence by the Ravens final Thursday, which led to the staff parting methods with basic supervisor Chris Grier. It additionally appears like each Mike McDaniel and Tua Tagovailoa’s days are numbered. In the meantime, Josh Allen — who’s at present boasting profession highs in completion share (70%) and yards per try (8.2) — has owned the Dolphins. The Payments quarterback is 14-2 and averages three complete touchdowns per recreation in opposition to his division foe.

I can see Buffalo getting up large and Miami rolling over.

Projected rating: Payments 33, Dolphins 20
The choose: Payments -9.5

The Cardinals can be rolling with Jacoby Brissett on this recreation. Whereas Arizona’s offense has functioned significantly better with Brissett underneath heart than it did with Kyler Murray earlier in 2025, I am not satisfied he can preserve tempo with a Seattle staff that appears like a sleeping large within the NFC.

Defensively, Seattle ought to be capable to get after Brissett, because the Seahawks enter Week 10 with the third-most sacks within the NFL (27). They’re additionally tied for the third-fewest yards per play allowed (4.7) and rank fifth in factors allowed per recreation (18.8). Pair that with an offense that sits high 5 in scoring and tied for first in yards per play, and Seattle merely appears like an excessive amount of, particularly at residence.

Projected rating: Seahawks 27, Cardinals 17
The choose: Seahawks -6.5

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With C.J. Stroud dominated out with a concussion, the Texans will flip to Davis Mills in Week 10. Whereas Stroud’s absence clearly lowers Houston’s ceiling, I nonetheless just like the Texans on this spot. Mills is a succesful backup, and this matchup is extra about fading Jacksonville than anything.

The Jaguars offense is just onerous to consider in, particularly with Trevor Lawrence struggling. He ranks thirty second amongst 33 certified quarterbacks in completion share this season (59.7%), and Jakobi Meyers’ arrival would not magically clear up these points. That is an excellent more durable matchup for Jacksonville contemplating Lawrence now faces arguably the most effective protection within the NFL with out high wideout Brian Thomas Jr., who’s out with an ankle harm. 

Houston leads the league in factors allowed per recreation (15.1) and yards allowed per recreation (267.4). I anticipate the Texans to disrupt Jacksonville’s offense sufficient that Mills will not have to do any heavy lifting to maintain Houston in management.

Projected rating: Texans 23, Jaguars 20
The choose: Texans +1.5


Remainder of the bunch

Falcons at Colts (in Berlin)
Projected rating: Colts 30, Falcons 20
The choose: Colts -6.5

Giants at Bears
Projected rating: Bears 27, Giants 21
The choose: Bears -4.5

Ravens at Vikings
Projected rating: Ravens 24, Vikings 21
The choose: Vikings +4.5

Browns at Jets
Projected rating: Browns 23, Jets 20
The choose: Browns -2.5

Saints at Panthers
Projected rating: Panthers 24, Saints 20
The choose: Saints +5.5

Rams at 49ers
Projected rating: Rams 27, 49ers 24
The choose: 49ers +4.5

Lions at Commanders
Projected rating: Lions 33, Commanders 20
The choose: Lions -7.5

Steelers at Chargers
Projected rating: Chargers 27, Steelers 23
The choose: Chargers -2.5



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