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Hurricane Melissa might be Jamaica’s “storm of the century,” world forecasters say

Madisony
Last updated: October 28, 2025 1:20 pm
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Hurricane Melissa might be Jamaica’s “storm of the century,” world forecasters say
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Kingston, Jamaica — The outer bands of Hurricane Melissa are hitting Jamaica. They’re the vanguard of the catastrophic Class 5 storm — the strongest to lash the island since recordkeeping started 174 years in the past.

Tropical storm circumstances are already occurring in Jamaica, the Miami-based Nationwide Hurricane Heart mentioned.

Landslides, fallen bushes and quite a few energy outages are being reported, with officers cautioning that the cleanup and injury evaluation will probably be sluggish.

“For Jamaica, will probably be the storm of the century for positive,” mentioned World Meteorological Group tropical cyclone specialist Anne-Claire Fontan. She instructed reporters in Geneva on Tuesday she expects catastrophic injury on the island, in accordance with the Reuters information service. 

Melissa might have an effect on 1.5 million folks in Jamaica, mentioned Worldwide Federation of Pink Cross and Pink Crescent Societies official Necephor Mghendi in Geneva, warning there will probably be a “huge affect,” French information company AFP reported.

melissa-sat-710a-102825.jpg

Hurricane Melissa as seen from a satellite tv for pc at 7:10 a.m. EDT on Oct. 28, 2025.

NOAA/Nationwide Hurricane Heart


The storm was anticipated to make landfall early Tuesday and slice diagonally throughout the island, coming into close to St. Elizabeth parish within the south and exiting round St. Ann parish within the north, forecasters mentioned. Melissa was more likely to be over southeastern Cuba Wednesday morning as an especially harmful main hurricane after which attain the southeastern or central Bahamas afterward Wednesday, nonetheless as a hurricane.

Hours earlier than the storm, the federal government mentioned it had performed all it might to organize because it, too, warned of catastrophic injury.

“There isn’t any infrastructure within the area that may stand up to a Class 5,” Prime Minister Andrew Holness mentioned. “The query now’s the velocity of restoration. That is the problem.”

Melissa is predicted to convey 15 to 30 inches of rain to areas of Jamaica and 6 to 12 inches to southern Hispaniola (the island break up into Haiti and the Dominican Republic) via Wednesday, with a complete of 40 inches doable in some locations, the hurricane middle mentioned. “Catastrophic flash flooding and quite a few landslides are seemingly,” the middle confused.

“We are going to get via it collectively,” mentioned Evan Thompson, principal director at Jamaica’s meteorological service.  

Jamaica Extreme Weather

Folks take shelter in a college forward of Hurricane Melissa’s forecast arrival in Outdated Harbour, Jamaica, on Oct. 27, 2025.

Matias Delacroix/AP


For japanese Cuba, complete rainfall might attain 10 to twenty inches, with as a lot as 25 inches in some spots from Monday into Wednesday, which might end in “life-threatening and doubtlessly catastrophic flash flooding with quite a few landslides,” the middle added.

And complete rainfall of 5 to 10 inches is predicted in the present day into Wednesday on the southeastern Bahamas, leading to areas of flash flooding.  

A life-threatening storm surge of as much as 13 toes is predicted throughout southern Jamaica, with officers involved in regards to the affect on some hospitals alongside the shoreline. Well being Minister Christopher Tufton mentioned some sufferers had been relocated from the bottom flooring to the second flooring “and (we) hope that may suffice for any surge that may happen.”

The storm already was blamed for seven deaths within the Caribbean, together with three in Jamaica, three in Haiti and one within the Dominican Republic, the place one other particular person was lacking.

Jamaica Extreme Weather

A fisherman ties boats in preparation for the forecast arrival of Hurricane Melissa in Outdated Harbour, Jamaica, on Oct. 27, 2025.

Matias Delacroix/AP


Melissa was centered about 55 miles south-southwest of Negril, Jamaica, early Tuesday and about 265 miles southwest of Guantánamo, Cuba. The system had most sustained winds of 175 mph, nicely above the minimal 157 mph wanted for it to achieve the highest of the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. It was shifting north-northeast at 7 mph, marking an anticipated enhance in velocity after the storm traveled far more slowly for a number of days, in accordance with the hurricane middle.

Colin Bogle, a Mercy Corps advisor primarily based close to Kingston, mentioned most households are sheltering in place regardless of the federal government ordering evacuations in flood-prone communities.

“Many have by no means skilled something like this earlier than, and the uncertainty is scary,” he mentioned. “There’s profound worry of dropping properties and livelihoods, of damage, and of displacement.”

Matthew Samuda, Jamaica’s water and setting minister, mentioned he had greater than 50 mills out there to deploy after the storm, however warned folks to put aside clear water and use it sparingly.

“Each drop will rely,” he mentioned.

A hurricane warning was in impact for Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantánamo and Holguin provinces, whereas a tropical storm warning was in impact for Las Tunas. As much as 20 inches of rain was forecast for components of Cuba, together with a major storm surge alongside the coast.

Cuban officers mentioned Monday that they had been evacuating greater than 600,000 folks from the area, together with Santiago, the island’s second-largest metropolis.

Melissa additionally has drenched the southern areas of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with a tropical storm warning nonetheless in impact for Haiti.

A hurricane warning was in impact for the southeastern and central Bahamas, and a tropical storm warning was issued for the Turks and Caicos Islands.

The U.S. State Division issued pure catastrophe journey alerts for Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti and the Bahamas on Monday, urging U.S. residents to contemplate leaving whereas flights had been nonetheless out there, or be ready to shelter in place.

And CBS Information confirmed {that a} Hurricane Hunters plane from the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was compelled on Monday to abort its mission when it skilled “extreme turbulence” within the storm’s southwestern eyewall.

ClimateWatch: Local weather Change Information & Options

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