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Money

Is Starbucks Inventory Underperforming the Dow?

Madisony
Last updated: November 29, 2025 8:39 am
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Is Starbucks Inventory Underperforming the Dow?
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Seattle-based Starbucks Company (SBUX) operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of espresso worldwide. Its shops supply espresso, tea, and numerous meals merchandise. With a market cap of $98.6 billion, Starbucks operates via North America, Worldwide, and Channel Improvement segments.

Corporations price $10 billion or extra are usually described as “large-cap shares.” Starbucks suits this invoice completely. Given the corporate’s intensive operations and stronghold within the QSR and low area, its valuation above this mark is unsurprising.

The espresso large touched its three-year excessive of $117.46 on Mar. 3 and is presently buying and selling 26.2% under that peak. In the meantime, SBUX has noticed a marginal 8 bps uptick over the previous three months, lagging behind the Dow Jones Industrial Common’s ($DOWI) 4.4% beneficial properties throughout the identical timeframe.

www.barchart.com

Starbucks’ efficiency has remained underwhelming over the long run as nicely. SBUX inventory has dropped almost 5% on a YTD foundation and declined 13.9% over the previous 52 weeks, in comparison with the Dow’s 11.5% beneficial properties in 2025 and 5.7% uptick over the previous 12 months.

Starbucks has traded under its 200-day transferring common since early April and under its 50-day transferring common since late July, underscoring its bearish pattern.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

It has been over a 12 months for the reason that begin of the brand new CEO Brian Niccol’s Again to Starbucks technique, and the outcomes of this technique haven’t been as fruitful as initially anticipated. Starbucks’ comparable gross sales have noticed a constant decline for a number of quarters. Regardless of the low base, its comparable gross sales haven’t noticed the anticipated development. In This autumn 2025, the corporate’s North America comps remained flat year-over-year. Nevertheless, worldwide comps noticed a 3% enchancment, pushed by 6% improve in comparable transactions, partially offset by 3% decline in common ticket.

Its total topline elevated 5.5% year-over-year to $9.6 billion, beating the Road’s expectations. Nevertheless, because of decrease common ticket dimension in worldwide markets and subdued efficiency in native markets, Starbucks’ margins obtained squeezed. Its adjusted EPS for the quarter plummeted 35% year-over-year to $0.52, lacking the consensus estimates by 5.5%. SBUX inventory costs have dropped 1.2% within the buying and selling session following the discharge of its lackluster This autumn outcomes on Oct. 29.

When in comparison with its peer, Starbucks has considerably underperformed its peer, Dutch Bros Inc.’s (BROS) 11.3% surge in 2025 and 10% returns over the previous 52 weeks.

Nonetheless, analysts stay cautiously optimistic in regards to the inventory’s prospects. SBUX has a consensus “Reasonable Purchase” score total. Its imply value goal of $92.55 suggests a 6.7% upside potential from present value ranges.

On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi didn’t have (both immediately or not directly) positions in any of the securities talked about on this article. All info and information on this article is solely for informational functions. This text was initially revealed on Barchart.com

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