Alexander Spatari | Second | Getty Photos
A model of this text first appeared within the CNBC Property Play publication with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving alternatives for the true property investor, from people to enterprise capitalists, personal fairness funds, household workplaces, institutional traders and huge public corporations. Enroll to obtain future editions, straight to your inbox.
Manhattan workplace leasing elevated greater than 20% in August in contrast with July to three.7 million sq. ft and was properly above the 10-year month-to-month common of two.72 million sq. ft, in line with a brand new report from Colliers. If demand continues on the identical tempo for the rest of 2025, Manhattan’s yearly quantity would exceed 40 million sq. ft for the primary time since 2019.
Over the past 25 years, on common roughly 32 million to 33 million sq. ft had been leased in a given 12 months. In 2024, Manhattan returned to that common for the primary time because the pandemic started in 2020.
“That could be a very robust market by way of demand,” mentioned Franklin Wallach, government managing director for analysis and enterprise growth at Colliers.
“Definitely a return to workplace is part of that — and low unemployment. You even have a reemergence of some key industries that had been a bit of quieter throughout the pandemic years, not that they ever went away, however tech specifically involves thoughts,” Wallach mentioned.
He pointed to over 1,000,000 sq. ft of Manhattan workplace leasing by Amazon alone simply since November 2024. That got here within the type of leases, subleases and enterprise agreements with coworking areas like WeWork, along with constructing purchases.
The authorized sector is one other prime instance. In 2023 Manhattan noticed a report 12 months of legislation agency leasing exercise – greater than 4 million sq. ft. Final 12 months was barely decrease, however nonetheless above 2019 ranges.
“You additionally very a lot had flight to high quality. New development corresponding to One Vanderbilt, Hudson Yards, Manhattan West, the place availability has turn out to be very tight in that new product,” mentioned Wallach.
Because of this, the availability, referred to as the “availability charge,” of newer workplace house, has dropped to six.7% in contrast with the speed for older, prewar buildings, at 17%. Manhattan’s total availability charge fell to fifteen%, the bottom since January 2021 and the 18th consecutive month that its availability charge remained secure or tightened.
Of Manhattan’s three workplace subsectors, the supply charge tightened in Midtown, Midtown South and Manhattan total throughout August whereas remaining secure downtown.
On the finish of August the typical asking hire for Manhattan workplaces was $74.73 per sq. foot, a rise of 1% from July. In contrast with March 2020, nonetheless, rents are nonetheless 6% decrease.
“When you have a 1% enhance throughout the month, that could be a vital motion. A few of that’s above-average-priced house coming onto the market, however we have additionally begun to see extra landlords reprice their present house larger,” mentioned Wallach.
Workplace conversions are additionally having a significant influence on each provide and pricing. Colliers tracked practically 9 million sq. ft of workplace house faraway from the Manhattan market over the past 4 years. That hits not simply provide, but additionally demand and costs.
“We have seen, on common, that for each million sq. ft of workplace constructing slated for conversion, on common 270,000 sq. ft of leasing exercise happens due to the tenants popping out of that constructing and relocating to a different constructing,” mentioned Wallach.
As well as, the buildings being transformed seemingly had below-average-priced house, together with sublet house which can also be decrease priced. Their elimination, subsequently, will increase the typical worth of the general Manhattan market.