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Sports

NFL Playoff Eventualities for Week 17: How Closing 4 Playoff Spots May Be Decided

Madisony
Last updated: December 23, 2025 8:22 pm
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NFL Playoff Eventualities for Week 17: How Closing 4 Playoff Spots May Be Decided
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Contents
AFCNFC

Just like that, only four spots remain in the playoff field for the 2025 NFL season. 

Eight teams punched their tickets to the playoffs in Week 16, with only two spots remaining in each conference. We could actually know which 14 teams are in the postseason by the end of Week 17, as four teams can potentially secure a playoff spot this weekend.

But there are also seven division titles to sort out, and we still don’t know who’ll have the No. 1 seed in each conference. So, let’s take a look at how teams can either clinch a playoff spot, win their division or take the No. 1 seed in Week 17. 

AFC

The Broncos have already clinched a playoff spot. They can clinch the AFC West in Week 17 as they take on the Kansas City Chiefs if the following happens:

  • Broncos beat Chiefs and Chargers lose or tie to Texans OR
  • Broncos tie and Chargers lose

The Broncos can even clinch the AFC’s No. 1 seed if the next occurs:

  • Broncos win, Chargers lose, Patriots lose to Jets, Bills lose or tie against Eagles and Jaguars lose or tie against Colts

The Jaguars have already clinched a playoff spot. They will clinch the AFC South in Week 17 as they tackle the Indianapolis Colts if the next occurs:

  • Jaguars beat Colts and Texans lose or tie against Chargers OR
  • Jaguars tie and Texans lose

The Patriots have already clinched a playoff spot. They will clinch the AFC East in Week 17 as they tackle the New York Jets if the next occurs: 

  • Patriots beat Jets and Bills lose or tie against Eagles OR
  • Patriots tie and Bills lose

The Steelers can clinch a playoff spot and win the AFC North in Week 17 as they tackle the Cleveland Browns if the next occurs:

  • Steelers beat Browns OR
  • Ravens lose or tie against Broncos

Playoff likelihood: 91%

The Texans can clinch a playoff spot in Week 17 as they tackle the Los Angeles Chargers if the next occurs:

  • Texans win or tie against Chargers OR
  • Colts lose or tie against Jaguars OR
  • Texans clinch at least a tie in strength of victory tiebreaker over Colts (would need wins from Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, 49ers, Rams, Buccaneers)

Playoff likelihood: 97%

NFC

The Bears have already clinched a playoff spot. They will clinch the NFC North in Week 17 as they tackle the San Francisco 49ers if the next occurs:

  • Bears beat 49ers OR 
  • Packers lose to Ravens OR
  • Bears tie and Packers tie

The Packers can clinch a playoff spot in Week 17 as they tackle the Baltimore Ravens if the next occurs:

  • Packers win or tie against Ravens OR
  • Lions lose or tie against Vikings

Playoff likelihood: 93%

The Panthers can clinch a playoff spot and win the NFC South in Week 17 as they tackle the Seattle Seahawks if the next occurs: 

  • Panthers beat Seahawks and Buccaneers lose or tie against Dolphins OR
  • Panthers tie and Buccaneers lose

Playoff likelihood: 43%

The Seahawks have already clinched a playoff spot. They will clinch the NFC West in Week 17 as they tackle the Carolina Panthers if the next occurs: 

  • Seahawks beat Panthers, Rams lose or tie against Falcons and 49ers lose or tie against Bears OR
  • Seahawks tie, Rams lose and 49ers lose

The Seahawks can even clinch the NFC’s No. 1 seed if the next occurs:

  • Seahawks win, Rams lose and Bears-49ers ends in a tie

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