The pinnacle of the Nobel Committee, Jørgen Watne Frydnes, on Friday, Oct. 10, 2025. (Rodrigo Freitas/NTB Scanpix by way of AP)
Officers of the Nobel Peace Prize are reviewing a burst of betting exercise that occurred hours earlier than this yr’s winner was revealed, amid issues that confidential data could have leaked from contained in the Nobel committee.
Information from the crypto prediction platform Polymarket confirmed an abrupt surge in wagers favoring María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition chief who went on to win the 2025 Peace Prize. Round midnight in Norway on Thursday, her possibilities had been estimated at just below 4 %, however by about 2 a.m., they’d jumped to almost 73 %. Her win was introduced simply hours later.
Earlier than Thursday, Yulia Navalnaya, widow of Russian opposition chief Alexei Navalny, was the frontrunner to win the Peace Prize on Polymarket. Fellow contender, President Donald Trump’s odds had been additionally increased than Machado’s.
Kristian Berg Harpviken, the pinnacle of the Nobel Institute, informed Bloomberg that“it appears we’ve been prey to a felony actor who desires to earn cash on our data.” In line with the Norwegian newspaper Finansavisen, one bettor gained $65,000 USD after betting on Machado. One other winner created their Polymarket profile the identical day they positioned their wager.
Jørgen Watne Frydnes, the pinnacle of the Nobel committee, informed one other Norwegian paper, Aftenposten, that the group “tends to be excellent at conserving secrets and techniques,” noting its fame for sustaining confidentiality. Extra particulars on the investigation into the obvious leak are anticipated quickly, per Harpviken.
The publish Nobel Peace Prize Officers Investigating Suspicious Exercise Forward of Announcement first appeared on Mediaite.
