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National & World

Oil costs surge amid fears over Iran conflict : NPR

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Last updated: March 2, 2026 6:53 pm
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Oil costs surge amid fears over Iran conflict : NPR
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A motorboat cruises off the coast of the United Arab Emirates, on the Strait of Hormuz, with a tanker seen in the background, on February 25, 2026. Tanker traffic through the strait has come essentially to a stop after Iran declared the strait closed following attacks on Iran by the U.S. and Israel.

A motorboat cruises off the coast of the United Arab Emirates, on the Strait of Hormuz, with a tanker seen within the background, on February 25, 2026. Tanker visitors by way of the strait has come primarily to a cease after Iran declared the strait closed following assaults on Iran by the U.S. and Israel.

Fadel Senna/AFP through Getty Pictures


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Fadel Senna/AFP through Getty Pictures

International crude oil costs surged by about 8% and shares fell because the conflict with Iran enters its third day.

Brent crude, the worldwide benchmark, was buying and selling within the excessive $70s on Monday morning following the efficient halt of tanker visitors by way of the Strait of Hormuz.

That is a pointy rise from earlier than the U.S. and Israel attacked, however removed from a worse-case state of affairs. Analysts have warned that costs may high $100 a barrel if oil commerce is disrupted for a protracted time frame, or if the conflict spills over into neighboring international locations and destroys oil infrastructure. Saudi Arabia says it has shot down drones concentrating on an oil refinery, whereas Qatar Power says two pure gasoline services have been attacked.

The crude oil tanker, Sanan, is seen in coastal waters near Bandare Asaluyah, Iran, on January 27, 2026. Condensate is loaded onto tankers after being processed at gas refineries in Bandare Asaluyah.

Motorists drive along a street as smoke rises from a reported Iranian strike in the area where the U.S. Embassy is located in Kuwait City on March 2, 2026.

In the meantime, inventory markets declined initially however pared losses by noon as buyers shifted to wait-and-see mode. The Dow Jones Industrial Common fell as a lot as 600 factors at one level on Monday morning however was buying and selling down by simply over 10 factors by noon. In the meantime, each the S&P and the Nasdaq have been barely increased.

Gasoline costs prone to rise; pure gasoline spikes

International vitality markets have been closed on Saturday when the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. When buying and selling opened on Sunday evening, costs briefly topped $80 a barrel earlier than settling barely.

People mourn the death of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in joint US and Israeli strikes, at a square in Tehran on March 1, 2026. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader since 1989 and sworn enemy of the West, was killed in the opening salvo of a massive US and Israeli attack that extended into a second day on March 1, as the two powers seek to topple the Islamic republic.

Patrick de Haan, an analyst with the app GasBuddy, estimates that within the subsequent few days the spike in crude oil costs will push U.S. gasoline costs up by 10-30 cents on common, with some particular person stations seeing costs rise as a lot as 85 cents.

About 20% of worldwide oil consumption passes by way of the Strait of Hormuz. 4 vessels have been hit in Gulf waters because the battle started; with delivery firms and their insurers involved about vessel security, tankers should not risking passage by way of the Strait.

In the meantime, the Strait can be a key chokepoint for commerce of liquefied pure gasoline, or LNG — the pure gasoline that is used to warmth properties and make electrical energy, loaded into ships for simpler world commerce. European pure gasoline markets have surged greater than 20%.

After current investments in LNG terminals, the U.S. is the world’s largest exporter of LNG. Larger costs increase firms that ship pure gasoline abroad, however contribute to rising electrical energy prices within the U.S.

NPR’s Rafael Nam and Aya Batrawy contributed to this report.

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