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Sports

One stat that defines each NFL commerce deadline day transfer

Madisony
Last updated: November 6, 2025 1:02 pm
Madisony
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One stat that defines each NFL commerce deadline day transfer
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One of many busiest NFL commerce deadlines has come and gone, with strikes that not solely shaking up the pecking order in each conferences, but additionally altering the fortunes of groups who shipped gamers off. The New York Jets have been massive sellers on the deadline, parting methods with core gamers for the prospect to rebuild sooner or later, whereas groups just like the Colts and Seahawks added high quality gamers to gasoline Tremendous Bowl pushes.

What’s each workforce getting of their new acquisition? There’s one quantity that explains why every workforce made the commerce they did, so let’s get into it.


One Quantity: 70.4% — how typically the Colts’ DBs play press protection

Let’s begin with the most important commerce of the day: the Indianapolis Colts sending two first-round picks and huge receiver Adonai Mitchell to the New York Jets for two-time All-Professional cornerback Sauce Gardner. Whereas the value tag could be steep, the schematic match for Gardner makes a complete lot of sense.

Below defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo, the Colts’ cornerbacks play in press protection a whopping 70.4% of the time — the fifth-highest charge within the NFL. One of many few groups forward of Indianapolis in press charge is the Jets, the place Gardner was the linchpin of their defensive scheme.

Whereas Gardner is not excellent, and this season has been up and down in press (doubtless as a result of he is performed extra man protection), his profession numbers in press are elite: 38.2% completion share allowed and 4.9 yards per try. Even in a “down” 12 months, he is nonetheless forcing the second-highest charge of tight-window throws within the NFL amongst all defensive backs.

Gardner’s size and physicality on the line of scrimmage make him probably the greatest corners within the league, and the Colts have the coordinator to weaponize it. Gardner additionally has energetic eyes in zone and is a prepared tackler, which inserts Indy’s system.

If there have been any holes on the Colts this season, it was the shortage of impression gamers within the secondary with cornerback Charvarius Ward out. When Ward returns, the trio of Gardner, Ward and nickel Kenny Moore provides Indy a bodily, gritty group that performs in your face.

The Colts clearly imagine they’ll attain the Tremendous Bowl inside two years. That places religion in quarterback Daniel Jones, however having Gardner on protection widens the margin for error — if he returns to All-Professional kind.

Sauce Gardner commerce grades: No. 1 seed Colts make dwelling run swing, Jets land huge haul for star nook

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Sauce Gardner trade grades: No. 1 seed Colts make home run swing, Jets land massive haul for star corner


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One quantity: 3  — third amongst all DL in stops (tackles that trigger a optimistic EPA for the protection)

I’ve received handy it to Jerry Jones — I did not assume the Cowboys had this in them. Dallas traded a 2026 second-round decide and a 2027 first-rounder for Jets defensive deal with Quinnen Williams, the most important of their two strikes on the day. And actually, it is sensible.

Sure, Williams is 28 and can want an extension, however with the way in which their defensive-line contracts are structured (particularly Kenny Clark‘s), Williams appears to be like like a long-term play.

On the sector, his impression needs to be rapid. He is one of many 5 finest defensive tackles within the NFL, elite towards the run because of his energy, method and block recognition. Per Subsequent Gen Stats, Williams has 13 run stuffs for loss or no achieve this season — second most within the league. He forces offenses to account for him, liberating up linebackers to make performs.

His cross rush has been inconsistent (8.0% strain charge, lowest since his rookie 12 months), however that is partly because of the Jets’ adverse recreation scripts. His peaks are forceful, collapsing pockets with energy and creating matchups for others.

The Cowboys wanted an impression defender who might have an effect on each the run and cross, and Williams provides them that. The query is how defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus will match three costly defensive tackles — Williams, Clark and Osa Odighizuwa — into his four-down entrance. Nonetheless, having an excessive amount of inside expertise is not a nasty downside. Williams turns into the fulcrum of a defensive entrance Dallas hopes can gasoline a playoff push.

Quinnen Williams is not the subsequent Micah Parsons, however new Cowboys DT nonetheless expects to be ‘distinction maker’

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Quinnen Williams isn't the next Micah Parsons, but new Cowboys DT still expects to be 'difference maker'


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One Quantity: 45.5 — yards per catch on passes over 20 air yards since 2023 (highest within the NFL, minimal three catches)

This could be my favourite deal of the deadline as a result of the Seahawks took a power and made it nuclear. They traded a 2026 fourth- and sixth-round decide to the Saints for huge receiver Rashid Shaheed, including one other explosive weapon to an already dynamic offense.

Shaheed is a authentic deep menace — averaging 47.8 yards per scrimmage landing, the best mark since 1970 for gamers with 10 or extra touchdowns. His velocity modifications defensive math immediately.

That matches completely with quarterback Sam Darnold, who likes to go deep. Darnold ranks second in completions of 20-plus air yards with a +30.1% CPOE and 1.68 EPA per dropback on such throws. Pairing him with Shaheed and Offensive Participant of the Yr candidate Jaxon Smith-Njigba provides Seattle an explosive trio.

Defenses already wrestle to deal with the velocity of Smith-Njigba and Tory Horton. With Shaheed added, Seattle’s passing recreation turns into terrifying — and run lanes ought to open as defenses again off. Towards base defenses this season, Seattle is averaging 12.6 yards per try. Shaheed might power opponents into nickel appears to be like, creating extra favorable run conditions.

A fourth and sixth may appear expensive, however for a way Shaheed modifications the mathematics, it is nicely price it.

Rashid Shaheed commerce grades: Seahawks land speedy receiver in deadline take care of Saints

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Rashid Shaheed trade grades: Seahawks land speedy receiver in deadline deal with Saints


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One Quantity: 2.7% — Meyers’ profession drop charge

The Jaguars additionally traded for a receiver, sending a fourth- and sixth-rounder in 2026 to the Raiders for huge receiver Jakobi Meyers. It is not flashy, but it surely’s a stabilizing transfer for a banged-up receiver room.

Meyers merely would not drop passes — his 2.7% drop charge is among the many finest in soccer. In 2024, he caught 50% of tight-window throws (defender inside 1 yard).

Drops have been a serious problem for Jacksonville. Per Sports activities Information Options, its 21 drops are the seventh-most by means of 9 video games since 2020, and its 9.1% workforce drop charge is ninth-highest in that span. Fourteen of these have come over the center of the sector.

With WR/CB Travis Hunter out, Dyami Brown injured, Brenton Unusual on injured reserve and Brian Thomas Jr. nursing an ankle, the Jags have been determined for reliability. Parker Washington is the one absolutely wholesome receiver — and he is primarily a slot man.

Meyers provides toughness outdoors and may complement the YAC abilities of Unusual and Hunter as soon as wholesome, together with the vertical explosiveness of Brown and Thomas. Jacksonville simply wanted a gradual, reliable possibility — and Meyers brings that.

Jakobi Meyers commerce grades: Jaguars bolster WR room as Raiders gather future picks

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Jakobi Meyers trade grades: Jaguars bolster WR room as Raiders collect future picks


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One Quantity: 16.5% — Phillips’ strain charge this season (could be second on the Eagles)

In one of many quieter however shrewd strikes, the Dolphins despatched edge rusher Jaelan Phillips to the Eagles for a third-round decide — an ideal worth for Philadelphia.

Quietly, the Eagles’ cross rush has taken a step again as a result of accidents and roster turnover. Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio’s blitz charge has jumped from twenty eighth in 2024 to twenty first this 12 months. With Nolan Smith on injured reserve, rookie Jalyx Hunt nonetheless uncooked, and Brandon Graham pulled out of retirement, depth was wanted.

Phillips, lastly wholesome, has appeared sharp. His three sacks do not inform the story — his 16.5% strain charge exhibits his disruptive impression. He wins with quickness, method and size, bringing the form of rush variation the Eagles have missed since Josh Sweat‘s prime stretch.

He matches the Eagles’ “wave” philosophy — rotating recent cross rushers all through the sport. You may by no means have too many defensive linemen, and Philadelphia is aware of it because it chases one other title.

Jaelan Phillips commerce grades: Eagles take a daring swing on Dolphins cross rusher; Miami begins rebuild

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Jaelan Phillips trade grades: Eagles take a bold swing on Dolphins pass rusher; Miami begins rebuild


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One Quantity: 0.38 — EPA per play allowed when opponents throw over the center (fifth-highest within the NFL)

Dallas’ different trade-deadline transfer was extra predictable. The Cowboys’ linebacking corps has been among the many NFL’s weakest, and Logan Wilson helps handle that.

Wilson was being phased out in Cincinnati and requested a commerce, however in Dallas he’ll begin once more. Whereas he is misplaced some athleticism, he stays instinctive and sound — one thing this protection sorely wants.

Kenneth Murray and Shemar James struggled in protection and run matches. Wilson, acquired for a 2026 seventh-rounder, brings expertise and consciousness to plug holes within the center.

Logan Wilson commerce grades: Cowboys make fleeting effort to assist protection; Bengals fulfill LB’s commerce request

Tyler Sullivan

Logan Wilson trade grades: Cowboys make fleeting effort to help defense; Bengals fulfill LB's trade request


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One Quantity: 7 — wholesome offensive linemen remaining for the Chargers

The Chargers’ playoff hopes hold by a thread regardless of a 6-3 file, largely as a result of a decimated offensive line.

Joe Alt is out for the season (ankle), Trey Pipkins and Jamaree Salyer did not begin final week, Mekhi Becton is banged up and even free-agent addition Bobby Hart went down.

Enter Trevor Penning. He isn’t nice — perhaps not even good — however he is athletic and has beginning expertise. At this level, the Chargers simply wanted a practical deal with who can line up and survive.

Agent’s Take: 3 trades — together with Breece Corridor to the Chiefs — that would’ve modified the NFL playoff image

Joel Corry

Agent's Take: 3 trades -- including Breece Hall to the Chiefs -- that could've changed the NFL playoff picture



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