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President Trump on Thursday signed an government order that may impose a tariff on any items from nations that promote or present oil to Cuba, a transfer that might additional cripple an island stricken by a deepening power disaster.
The order would primarily put strain on Mexico, a authorities that has acted as an oil lifeline for Cuba and has continually voiced solidarity for the U.S. adversary, whilst President Claudia Sheinbaum has sought to construct a powerful relationship with Mr. Trump.
This week has been marked by hypothesis that Mexico would slash oil shipments to Cuba underneath mounting strain by Mr. Trump to distance itself from the Cuban authorities.
In its deepening power and financial disaster — fueled partly by strict financial sanctions by the U.S. — Cuba has relied closely on overseas help and oil shipments from allies like Mexico, Russia and Venezuela, earlier than a U.S. navy operation ousted former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
YAMIL LAGE /AFP by way of Getty Pictures 
Because the Venezuela operation, Mr. Trump has stated that no extra Venezuelan oil will go to Cuba and that the Cuban authorities is “able to fall.”
On Jan. 11, Mr. Trump wrote on social media that “there can be no extra oil or cash going to Cuba — zero.”
On the time, a U.S. official instructed CBS Information the U.S. doesn’t search to set off a collapse of the Cuban authorities, however relatively to barter with Havana to transition away from its authoritarian communist system.
In its most up-to-date report, Mexico’s state oil firm, Pemex, stated it shipped practically 20,000 barrels of oil per day to Cuba from January via Sept. 30, 2025. That month, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Mexico Metropolis. Afterward, Jorge Piñon, an professional on the College of Texas Vitality Institute who tracks shipments utilizing satellite tv for pc expertise, stated the determine had fallen to about 7,000 barrels.
Sheinbaum has been extremely imprecise about the place her nation stood, and this week has given roundabout and ambiguous solutions to inquiries concerning the shipments, and dodged reporters’ questions in her morning press briefings.
On Tuesday, Sheinbaum stated that Pemex had at the very least briefly paused some oil shipments to Cuba, however struck an ambiguous tone, saying the pause was a part of normal fluctuations in oil provides and that it was a “sovereign resolution” not made underneath strain from the U.S. Sheinbaum has stated that Mexico would proceed to point out solidarity with Havana, however did not make clear what sort of assist Mexico would provide.
On Wednesday, the Latin American chief claimed she by no means stated that Mexico has fully “suspended” shipments and that “humanitarian support” to Cuba would proceed, and that selections about shipments to Cuba have been decided by Pemex contracts.
“So the contract determines when shipments are despatched and when they aren’t despatched,” Sheinbaum stated.
The shortage of readability from the chief has underscored the acute strain Mexico and different Latin American nations are underneath as Mr. Trump has grown extra confrontational following the Venezuelan operation.
It stays unclear what the Thursday order by Mr. Trump will imply for Cuba, which has been roiled by disaster for years and a U.S. embargo. Anxieties have been already simmering on the Caribbean island as many drivers sat in lengthy strains this week for gasoline, many uncertain of what would come subsequent.
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