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Week 6 of the NFL ends with another Monday Night Football doubleheader, and Underdog has you covered on all the action.
The Atlanta Falcons host the Buffalo Bills at 7:15pm ET. The second game of the night is a rematch of one of the memorable moments of last season. The Chicago Bears take on the Washington Commanders at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Josh Allen is 1-0 against the Falcons in his career, with that one win coming back in the 2021 season— when he led the Bills to a 3-1 record against NFC South teams.
After a game-winning Hail Mary catch from Noah Brown, the Commanders surged to the NFC Championship while the loss was the beginning of a 10-game losing streak for the Bears.
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Things to Know Before BUF @ ATL
- Josh Allen is 3-1 vs NFC South teams. Last beat the Falcons in 2022, 29-15. Allen struggled, passing for 120 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions.
- Buffalo has won the last two meetings, but is 2-3 in last five meetings dating back to 2005.
- Both defenses allow the least amount of passing yards per game. Falcons (135), Bills (154)
- The Falcons’ defense allowed the 2nd least amount of points. (86)
- The Bills have the second-most rushing TDs (9).
- Both teams have two of the top rushing attacks in the NFL. Both teams average the most rush attempts per game, the Bills (32.4) and the Falcons (31.8). Buffalo averages the second-most yards (154.4) and Atlanta has the fifth most (136.5).
Buffalo Betting Information
- Buffalo has two wins versus the spread in five games this season.
- The Bills have been favored by 4.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
- Buffalo games this year have hit the over on three of five set point totals (60%).
- When playing as moneyline favorites, the Bills are 3-1 (winning 75% of the time).
- The Bills have a 68.6% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Buffalo Gamers Stats
- Josh Allen: 1,217 passing yards, 9 TDs, 2 INTs, 70.4% completions, 243.4 YPG; 212 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs (2nd on Bills).
- James Cook: 450 rushing yards (5th NFL), 5 rushing TDs, 90 YPG, 5.0 YPC (11th NFL); 12 receptions (2.4/game), 14 targets, 89 receiving yards (17.8 YPG), 0 receiving TDs.
- Dalton Kincaid: 20 receptions, 24 targets, 287 receiving yards, 3 TDs; 4 receptions/game, 57.4 YPG.
- Khalil Shakir: 22 receptions, 29 targets, 235 receiving yards, 2 TDs; 4.4 receptions/game, 47 YPG.
- Terrel Bernard: 26 tackles, 3 TFL, 1 INT (leads team in tackles).
- Cole Bishop: 21 tackles, 1 TFL, 2 sacks (1st on Bills), 1 INT.
- Joey Bosa: 9 tackles, 2 TFL, 2 sacks (tied for 1st on Bills).
Atlanta Betting Information
- Atlanta has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0).
- Atlanta games have gone over the total once this season.
- The Falcons have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
Atlanta Gamers Stats
- Michael Penix Jr.: 918 passing yards, 3 passing TDs, 3 INTs, 62.4% completions, 229.5 YPG, 7.3 YPA; 31 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD.
- Bijan Robinson: 314 rushing yards (78.5 YPG, 4.9 YPC), 1 rushing TD; 18 receptions (23 targets), 270 receiving yards (1st on Falcons), 1 receiving TD, 67.5 YPG.
- Drake London: 24 receptions (6 per game, 9.2 targets/game), 269 receiving yards, 1 TD.
- Tyler Allgeier: 155 rushing yards (2nd on Falcons), 2 rushing TDs, 38.8 YPG, 3.6 YPC (36th NFL).
- Kaden Elliss: 23 tackles (2nd on Falcons), 4 TFL, 1.5 sacks.
- Xavier Watts: 22 tackles, 2 INTs.
- Zach Harrison: 11 tackles, 2 TFL, 2.5 sacks (1st on Falcons).
Issues to Know Earlier than WAS @ CHI
- In last year’s game between the top two picks in the 2024 draft, Caleb Williams passed for 131 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. Jayden Daniels passed for 326 yards and a touchdown.
- Washington and Chicago have been evenly matched over their last four matchups, sharing the same 2-2 record.
- Commanders have the fourth most rushing yards in the NFL (782) and averaged the most with 156.4.
- Chicago’s defense gives up the second most rushing yards in four games (164.5).
- Chicago is tied for least number of FGs made (6), scoring only 29 points off field goals.
- Chicago’s defense is tied for second in interceptions with seven and tied for third with nine total takeaways. They also give up the fourth most points (29.3) and fifth most yards (379.5) per game.
- Chicago’s defense is tied for least number of sacks (5).
Chicago Betting Information
- Chicago has gone 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- This season, the Bears are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
- This year, three Chicago games have gone over the point total.
- The Bears have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- The Bears have a 32.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Chicago Gamers Stats
- Caleb Williams: 927 passing yards, 8 TDs, 2 INTs, 62.3% completions, 231.8 YPG; 110 rushing yards (2nd on Bears), 1 rushing TD.
- Rome Odunze: 20 receptions (35 targets), 296 receiving yards, 5 TDs (3rd NFL).
- D’Andre Swift: 187 rushing yards (46.8 YPG, 3.3 YPC), 2 rushing TDs; 13 receptions (18 targets), 85 receiving yards (21.3 YPG).
- D.J. Moore: 16 receptions (21 targets), 173 receiving yards, 1 TD.
- Tremaine Edmunds: 40 tackles, 1 TFL, 2 INTs, 3 passes defended (5th NFL in INTs).
- Tyrique Stevenson: 19 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 INT, 5 passes defended.
- Kevin Byard: 23 tackles (3rd on Bears), 1 TFL, 3 INTs.
Washington Betting Information
- Against the spread, Washington is 3-2-0 this season.
- The Commanders have been favored by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Washington games this year have hit the over on two of five set point totals (40%).
- The Commanders have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they won both.
- The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Commanders a 71.4% chance to win.
Washington Gamers Stats
- Jayden Daniels: 664 passing yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs; 59.2% completions, 6.8 YPA, 221.3 YPG; 124 rushing yards (41.3 YPG), 0 rushing TDs.
- Deebo Samuel: 30 receptions (38 targets), 300 receiving yards, 3 TDs; 6 receptions per game, 60 yards per game.
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 283 rushing yards (56.6 YPG), 4 rushing TDs; 5 receptions, 54 receiving yards, 0 receiving TDs.
- Bobby Wagner: 56 tackles, 4 TFL, 2 sacks.
- Dorance Armstrong Jr.: 22 tackles (5th on Commanders), 7 TFL, 5 sacks.
- Da’Ron Payne: 16 tackles, 4 TFL, 1 sack, 2 passes defended.
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