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Middle East Oil Output Drops 12M boe/Day, Faces 70% Decline

Madisony
Last updated: March 17, 2026 3:13 am
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Middle East Oil Output Drops 12M boe/Day, Faces 70% Decline
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Middle East oil production has plummeted by more than 12 million barrels of oil equivalent per day since Iran effectively sealed off the Strait of Hormuz. This sharp decline equates to roughly 7% of global liquids demand.

Contents
Worst-Case Scenario LoomsGlobal Supply Implications

Worst-Case Scenario Looms

Analysis indicates the region’s output could sink to just 6 million barrels per day in a severe downturn, representing a 70% drop from pre-war levels. Energy experts highlight escalating risks from the strait closure, disrupting key export routes and supply chains.

Global Supply Implications

The disruption threatens broader market stability, with potential ripple effects on prices and availability worldwide. Officials monitor the situation closely as stakeholders assess mitigation strategies.

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