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2025 NFL awards predictions: Skilled finest bets for MVP, Rookie of the 12 months and all season-long awards

Madisony
Last updated: August 16, 2025 9:59 am
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2025 NFL awards predictions: Skilled finest bets for MVP, Rookie of the 12 months and all season-long awards
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Contents
MVP: Bo Nix +6000 (Caesars, FanDuel)Offensive Rookie of the 12 months: Cameron Ward +350 (BetMGM, DraftKings)Defensive Rookie of the 12 months: Mason Graham +1600 (DraftKings)Offensive Participant of the 12 months: Justin Jefferson +1600 (BetMGM, DraftKings)Defensive Participant of the 12 months: Nick Bosa +1500 (BetMGM, DraftKings)Comeback Participant of the 12 months: J.J. McCarthy +1000 (DraftKings)Protector of the 12 months: Jordan Mailata +1000 (Caesars, FanDuel)Coach of the 12 months: Sean Payton +2000 (FanDuel)

After diving into group previews for all 32 NFL groups and looking out on the futures markets for the Tremendous Bowl, divisional winners and make/miss playoff bets, we turned to the awards futures market at SportsLine, rating our 25 MVP finest bets primarily based on most worthwhile odds accessible, together with 5 longshots price contemplating. We additionally shared our 10 finest bets and prime longshots for all different awards. 

After simply lacking out on his third MVP final yr, Lamar Jackson is the favourite to win MVP at most main sportsbooks, with the reigning MVP Josh Allen generally mixing in as a co-favorite. Ashton Jeanty and Abdul Carter are the Rookie of the 12 months favorites, and Saquon Barkley is the favourite to repeat for Offensive Participant of the 12 months. Within the Defensive Participant of the 12 months odds market, there are three gamers within the combine on the prime of the board in Myles Garrett, Micah Parsons and Aidan Hutchinson. There are two additionally important favorites for each Comeback Participant of 12 months (Hutchinson and Dak Prescott) and Coach of the 12 months (Mike Vrabel and Ben Johnson).

This yr, there is a new award with the Protector of the 12 months, which is a bit completely different from the others, each as a result of it focuses on offensive line play, but additionally for the reason that voting might be carried out by a panel of six former offensive linemen quite than the traditional AP voting physique. Penei Sewell is the early favourite to be the inaugural award winner, adopted by Lane Johnson.

Under, you could find the individual I ranked second for every of the eight awards after digging into all the percentages markets. For many, there was little separation between the highest two choices in my rankings, so you’ll be able to think about many of the gamers/coaches beneath extra 1B quite than straight No. 2 for every award.

MVP: Bo Nix +6000 (Caesars, FanDuel)

Patrick Mahomes gained MVP in 2018 and Jackson did the identical the next yr, and neither was amongst thebetting  favorites for the award previous to the season. I talked about Mahomes as an excellent MVP worth at +5500 that preseason primarily based on the pairing with Andy Reid, and we noticed absolutely the best-case situation from Mahomes that yr. Voters have been chasing that 12 months 2 bump ever since, with Kyler Murray and Justin Herbert within the +2500 vary after wining Rookie of the 12 months after which C.J. Stroud final yr and Jayden Daniels this yr round +1000.

Mahomes nor Jackson had been Rookie of the 12 months earlier than profitable MVP, and neither was Nix, who did not come near pushing Daniels for the award final yr due partly to a sluggish begin. However he was nice within the second half as he performed at a tempo of 4,299 yards, 41 TDs and 12 INTs with a 69.7% completion charge over his final 10 video games.

The Broncos averaged 32.6 factors throughout their final seven video games, and whereas they did play some notably poor defenses, the tempo they had been on would have ranked eighth over a full season, ending 29 factors higher than final yr’s Payments and 36 factors higher than final yr’s Ravens. If Nix develops additional in his first full offseason, combining him with one in every of historical past’s finest offensive coaches in Payton might make him a perennial fixture within the MVP dialogue beginning this yr.

I like the worth in Nix’s MVP odds, however there may be one participant among the many prime 5 favorites that beats him out in my 2025 NFL MVP finest guess rankings over at SportsLine. Wager on Nix to win MVP at Caesars right here:

Offensive Rookie of the 12 months: Cameron Ward +350 (BetMGM, DraftKings)

I can see the Titans being an excellent sleeper group this yr, particularly as a result of they had been held again by poor quarterback play in 2024. The offensive line must be a lot improved with the additions of Kevin Zeitler and Dan Moore becoming a member of current top-12 general picks JC Latham and Peter Skoronski. Tennessee’s protection has potential with a star up entrance in Jeffery Simmons. However the participant who could be most chargeable for the Titans making a shock push for the playoffs could be their No. 1 general decide.

Rookie of the 12 months has turn out to be a quarterback award lately, with signal-callers profitable 4 of the final six since Saquon Barkley ran away with the award because the preseason favourite in 2018 in a draft with 4 quarterbacks taken within the prime 10, so there may be precedent for Ashton Jeanty to win Rookie of the 12 months as the favourite. However it was simply two years in the past we had been enjoying this recreation with Bijan Robinson properly forward of No. 1 general decide Bryce Younger and C.J. Stroud additional down the board.

Ward has Brian Callahan calling the photographs on offense, and the Titans head coach was integral to Joe Burrow getting off to begin in his rookie marketing campaign that was minimize quick as a result of damage. Burrow was on a 17-game tempo much like how Stroud completed in 2023 when he gained the award over probably the greatest receiving debuts of all time in Puka Nacua because the Texans had been shock AFC South winners. I might see an analogous path for Ward, even when Jeanty performs properly for an underwhelming Raiders group.

After all, there may be one candidate with longer odds I believe makes for a barely higher play than Ward, who I’ve ranked second in my 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine. Join BetMGM to wager on Ward profitable OROY right here:

Defensive Rookie of the 12 months: Mason Graham +1600 (DraftKings)

Voters have a kind relating to the Defensive Rookie of the 12 months, specializing in getting after the quarterback as edge rushers have gained it in 5 of the final six seasons. It has been 11 years since Aaron Donald took house the award in 2014, however he was the third inside defensive lineman to win the award in a five-year span. Even when they have been shut out of the award, defensive linemen have been among the many favorites just a few occasions lately, with Derrick Brown and Jalen Carter each round +600 to win.

Graham is not being thought of in that class and even in the identical class as Byron Murphy final yr, because the Seahawks decide was +1000 in a draft the place no defenders had been taken earlier than No. 15 general. The No. 5 general decide has longer odds than two edge rushers who went outdoors the highest 10 this yr as properly.

Taking that each one under consideration, I see him as an excellent worth for this award. He’ll be lined up subsequent to Myles Garrett, who’s going to attract major focus from the offensive line and permit Graham to win in an attacking defensive scheme the place he might rack extra sacks than individuals count on if he can deal with the transition. I used to be on the Murphy hype practice final yr partly due to the man working the protection and whereas he did not find yourself being an element, I see Jim Schwartz as an analogous defensive thoughts who may help elevate Graham’s candidacy.

Whereas Graham is a superb worth, I’ve another person as my No. 1 decide in my 2025 NFL Defensive Rookie of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine. Wager on Graham to win DROY at DraftKings right here:

Offensive Participant of the 12 months: Justin Jefferson +1600 (BetMGM, DraftKings)

Working backs have gained OPOY the final two seasons, with Christian McCaffrey taking house the award in 2023 and Barkley rolling final yr. Previous to that, the newest winner was Jefferson, who led the league with 128 receptions and 1,809 receiving yards in 2022 with Kirk Cousins as his quarterback your entire yr.

We do not know if J.J. McCarthy might be nearly as good as Cousins in Kevin O’Connell’s offense, however Sam Darnold definitely gave us a cause to be optimistic final yr by staying on the fringe of the MVP race for many of the season. Jefferson has as excessive a ground as anybody with one of the best receiving yardage per recreation mark in historical past at 96.5, and season by McCarthy might put him again on the chase for two,000 receiving yards, a stage no participant has ever reached.

Jefferson might do main harm within the first three weeks with Jordan Addison suspended, and Minnesota’s matchups towards Chicago, Atlanta and Cincinnati give him a ton of upside in these video games. I would not be stunned if he is the favourite by the point we get to Week 4.

There’s one participant I’ve above Jefferson in my 2025 Offensive Participant of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine, although it is principally a toss-up for me between the 2 gamers. Join DraftKings to guess on Jefferson profitable OPOY right here:

Defensive Participant of the 12 months: Nick Bosa +1500 (BetMGM, DraftKings)

Like Jefferson, Bosa gained this award three years in the past, however his sack manufacturing hasn’t fairly been at a excessive sufficient stage to place him within the race the final two years following the departure of DeMeco Ryans. The unit produced robust general numbers in 2023 however collapsed final yr. I count on a fast turnaround with the group reconnecting with Robert Saleh, who was defensive coordinator when Bosa gained Defensive Rookie of the 12 months in 2019.

Bosa did not actually get the possibility to blossom beneath Saleh, as he missed many of the following yr with an damage whereas the defensive coordinator left to take the Jets head teaching job in 2021, however Bosa was a perennial DPOY candidate with Ryans persevering with Saleh’s work for an excellent San Francisco protection. Regardless of settling on the 9-10 sack stage the final two years, Bosa graded out as one of many prime 4 edge rushers in every season per PFF, shedding no floor from his award-winning 2022 marketing campaign.

If you mix Bosa’s underlying efficiency with the return of Saleh, I consider he deserves to be proper alongside the highest 4 favorites for the award as an alternative of properly again from that tier and even behind Maxx Crosby and Will Anderson at some books. Getting him at +1500 is a superb worth.

Identical to with Offensive Participant of the 12 months, I might’ve simply put Bosa No. 1 in my 2025 Defensive Participant of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine, however I consider narrative goes to assist one participant sufficient to provide him the sting. Wager on Bosa to win DPOY at BetMGM right here:

Comeback Participant of the 12 months: J.J. McCarthy +1000 (DraftKings)

Quarterbacks have gained this award seven years in a row, which narrows down our participant pool of potential winners properly. I had McCaffrey the yr he got here again from two season-ending accidents and he delivered 1,half of 1 mile from scrimmage and 13 touchdowns, however he nonetheless got here up quick to Geno Smith, whose comeback centered round not being a starter the earlier yr. Despite the fact that the AP tried to level voters away from these circumstances following Joe Flacco profitable the award primarily based on 5 video games in 2023, Sam Darnold nonetheless completed third within the race in an analogous scenario to Smith final yr.

I see McCarthy’s odds being at a reduction with some bettors believing he cannot be known as a comeback participant if he by no means acquired on the sector within the first place. I do not consider voters will agree with that and if McCarthy can take the Vikings to the playoffs (which is a coin flip in futures markets), he’ll have put up ok statistics in Kevin O’Connell’s offense that he would be the favourite for the award when votes might be forged.

Regardless of the quarterback bias with this award, McCarthy has greater than twice as lengthy odds at every e-book than McCaffrey, who has proven he most likely must play at an Offensive Participant of the 12 months stage of manufacturing to take house this award. I might a lot quite have the Vikings sign caller in case he seems to be the newest success story for O’Connell.

That is one award the place I truly just like the No. 1 decide in my 2025 NFL Comeback Participant of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine fairly a bit extra. Wager on McCarthy to win Comeback Participant of the 12 months at DraftKings right here:

Protector of the 12 months: Jordan Mailata +1000 (Caesars, FanDuel)

It will be fascinating to trace this award over its inaugural yr to see what the panel prioritizes amongst candidates. I’ve Mailata as one in every of my two favourite picks as a result of I think about him an excellent worth in comparison with teammate Lane Johnson, who has lengthy been probably the greatest linemen within the league and is +750 for this award.

Regardless of the differing costs, Mailata was simply one of the best deal with in soccer final yr in line with PFF, and he is been prime three in three of the final 4 years. With Johnson turning 35 this season, I count on the panel will give Mailata the sting if it desires to reward an Eagles participant. We do not know if there might be any inherent bias within the positions performed by the highest candidates, and I discover it fascinating that the highest two favorites (Penei Sewell being favored over Johnson) are each proper tackles.

It is unlikely positional bias is an element when the panel declares a winner, which could possibly be why two proper tackles are on the prime of the percentages board. But when that is the case, there’s another person I like as an unbelievable worth who tops my 2025 NFL Protector of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine.

Coach of the 12 months: Sean Payton +2000 (FanDuel)

We opened this awards breakdown by banging the drum for Nix as a darkhorse MVP candidate. We’ll shut with the identical group as I believe Payton is a superb play for Coach of the 12 months. Payton gained this award in his first season teaching the Saints, and the doubtless future Corridor of Famer did a few of his finest work final yr creating Nix in his offense because the rookie acquired higher because the season went on.

I consider the Broncos are going to win the AFC West over the Chiefs and if that occurs, Payton needs to be among the many favorites for this award. Denver was seventh in level differential final yr and third within the AFC behind solely the Ravens and Payments, so this group was already pushing to be thought of prime tier with a rookie main the cost and taking a while to hit his stride. The offense has probably the greatest traces in soccer and the protection led the league in sacks by a large margin final yr.

The groundwork is there for the Broncos to shock the consensus view and push for a spot among the many finest groups within the convention, whereas most think about them a stable wild card group that can battle the Chargers for second place of their division. I might put Payton among the many prime two or three in odds for this award quite than the place he sits now sometimes behind 5-6 different coaches.

He is likely to be a greater worth than the No. 1 choice in my 2025 NFL Coach of the 12 months finest guess rankings at SportsLine, however I can see the narrative round that prime decide profitable out over Payton. Join FanDuel to guess on Payton profitable Coach of the 12 months right here:



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