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Reading: Stacy Rasgon Says Nvidia (NVDA)-Open AI Deal Reveals There’s ‘Scarcity of Compute’ – ‘Prospects Are Lining Up Years in Advance’
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Money

Stacy Rasgon Says Nvidia (NVDA)-Open AI Deal Reveals There’s ‘Scarcity of Compute’ – ‘Prospects Are Lining Up Years in Advance’

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Last updated: October 11, 2025 9:45 pm
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Stacy Rasgon Says Nvidia (NVDA)-Open AI Deal Reveals There’s ‘Scarcity of Compute’ – ‘Prospects Are Lining Up Years in Advance’
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We not too long ago revealed 10 Shares Everybody’s Speaking About As AI Investments Proceed. NVIDIA Company (NASDAQ:NVDA) is among the shares analysts have been not too long ago speaking about.

Stacy Rasgon, Bernstein senior semiconductor analyst, was not too long ago requested concerning the NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)-OpenAI $100 billion deal and what it signifies. The analyst stated the deal exhibits there’s a “scarcity” of computing energy and prospects are lining up prematurely.

“I imply, one of many main overarching themes appears to be a scarcity of compute. All people on the market who’s concerned on this appears to nonetheless be scrambling for compute. And so I do assume that’s a part of this, and you understand, Jensen’s thrown out some massive numbers for what he thought infrastructure spending could be by the top of the last decade. I believe he stated three to 4 trillion — like, who is aware of, I don’t know the way massive — however I do assume that it’s massive. So you may have that. I believe the facility query may be very attention-grabbing. I believe prospects are lining up energy in entrance of those sorts of investments years prematurely as a result of the facility infrastructure because it sits isn’t there; that must be put in entrance. Individuals have actually thought of whether or not or not energy would possibly truly be the first constraint as we ramp all this up over time. It might not even be compute. Over time, I imply.”

The present AI growth cycle stems from spending by main tech firms, and Nvidia is the largest beneficiary of this spending. In Q2 FY2026, three direct prospects accounted for 23%, 19%, and 14% of NVDA’s accounts receivable. Nearly the entire firm’s income comes from AI-related infrastructure spending. Within the newest quarter, $41.3 billion of the $46.7 billion income got here from these purchasers. The music might cease for Nvidia if these main firms determine to decelerate their spending amid a scarcity of ROI. If buyers sense a weak point in CapEx spending, and the market begins to waver, NVDA inventory worth could be the primary to see its impression.

Baird Chautauqua Worldwide and World Progress Fund acknowledged the next relating to NVIDIA Company (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its second quarter 2025 investor letter:

“NVIDIA Company (NASDAQ:NVDA) reported first quarter outcomes that have been extraordinarily stable. The corporate took a write-down on China-specific datacenter merchandise and flushed out any future China contributions from their steerage, following the brand new export restrictions launched in April. Demand commentary ex China was extraordinarily encouraging—Nvidia is outgrowing expectations regardless of provide constraints and outgrowing competing ASIC merchandise by a big margin. We have now been underweight Nvidia relative to the benchmark, which was up 46% within the quarter, given our short-to medium-term issues that the feverish AI datacenter construct could also be leading to overcapacity, which has not come to bear.”

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Reading: Stacy Rasgon Says Nvidia (NVDA)-Open AI Deal Reveals There’s ‘Scarcity of Compute’ – ‘Prospects Are Lining Up Years in Advance’
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