Week 15 was one other successful week for us, as we went 9-7 in opposition to the unfold. I nonetheless rank No. 1 on the web site with a 124-99-1 document in opposition to the unfold.
We by no means misplaced religion within the Buffalo Payments final week, even after they fell behind by 21 factors in New England, and appropriately predicted the Philadelphia Eagles and Houston Texans would win by double digits. Nonetheless, previous man Philip Rivers value us some cash in his return to the sector, and my endurance with the Dallas Cowboys has clearly worn skinny.
This week, I am focusing on a rematch within the NFC North, a showdown for the NFC South and Drake Maye vs. Lamar Jackson. As all the time, credit score to the CBS Sports activities analysis crew for making me sound good.
All Week 16 NFL betting strains by way of DraftKings Sportsbook
High 5 picks ATS document: 37-37-1
Total ATS document: 124-99-1
Straight up document: 152-71-1
Saturday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox, Stream: Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
This line was as soon as Packers -1.5, then flipped to Bears -1.5, and is now once more Packers -1.5. Chicago is driving excessive following the 31-3 victory over the Cleveland Browns — which was truly the Bears’ largest win in 5 years. The protection once more stood out, forcing three turnovers. That brings their complete takeaways to 30, which, after all, leads the NFL.
As for the Packers, they collapsed down the stretch in Denver, but in addition misplaced star go rusher Micah Parsons for the season because of a torn ACL. This makes life simpler on Caleb Williams, who has the second-best TD-INT ratio (41-12) within the NFL since 1970. I admit that the Bears being with out Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III does give me some pause, however I’ll roll with the house crew.
The decide: Bears +1.5
Projected rating: Bears 23-17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, Stream: Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
You’ve gotten significantly better odds of successful the Powerball than of determining what the Panthers are going to appear like on any given week. Severely, Bryce Younger may throw for 400 yards in opposition to the No. 1 go protection within the NFL, or look fully misplaced. Carolina actually missed a chance final week, because the Panthers misplaced to the New Orleans Saints for the second time this season. Now, they host an indignant Buccaneers crew with the division on the road.
The Bucs have misplaced 5 out of their previous six video games, together with that matchup in opposition to the Atlanta Falcons final Thursday, when the Bucs someway misplaced regardless of main by 14 factors within the fourth quarter. The go protection has struggled, because it permits a third-worst 246.9 passing yards per sport. Nonetheless, I’ll take the Bucs on this matchup as a result of Baker Mayfield has all of his playmakers again with Bucky Irving, Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan. In his final three highway video games, Mayfield is 3-0 with seven passing touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Sure, the Panthers at residence might be scary, however I consider the Buccaneers are the higher crew.
The decide: Buccaneers -3
Projected rating: Buccaneers 26-20
New York Jets at New Orleans Saints (-5.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Stream on Paramount+)
This is not going to be one of many most-watched video games within the NFL this week, however it might be my greatest wager of the week. I believe the Saints are fairly underrated proper now. They’re coming off back-to-back upset victories over the Buccaneers and Panthers, whereas the Jets have been out-scored by 42 factors within the final two weeks and are beginning their third totally different quarterback of the season. The protection has compelled simply three turnovers all season, and the offense hasn’t been way more efficient. Brady Prepare dinner threw for 176 yards, one landing and three interceptions final week in opposition to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
I do not suppose the Jets are going to get a bump simply because they fired defensive coordinator Steve Wilks. Plus, rookie quarterback Tyler Shough has appeared stable. He accomplished 75% of his passes final week for 272 yards and one landing, and led a game-winning drive. We’ll see if Alvin Kamara returns this week, or who performs working again on the whole, however I just like the Saints at residence right here. The Jets are 0-4 ATS on the highway vs. rookie quarterbacks over the past 5 years.
The decide: Saints -5.5
Projected rating: Saints 24-16
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, Stream: Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
The Patriots had their 10-game win streak snapped by the Payments final week, as we predicted, however I am coming proper again round and taking the Patriots as underdogs this week. I believe the Ravens’ win over the Cincinnati Bengals was extra about Joe Burrow’s play. Plus, the Patriots are higher than the Bengals at defending the run AND the go.
Drake Maye leads the NFL in completion proportion and has loads of weapons to make the most of, whereas TreVeyon Henderson has 4 (4!) 50-yard dashing touchdowns this season. Regardless of what we noticed within the second half final week, I’ve extra religion on this Patriots offense than the Ravens offense proper now. So sure, I will take New England +3. The Patriots are 6-1 SU and ATS of their final seven highway video games, whereas Maye is 3-0 SU and ATS in prime-time video games. On the flip facet, the Ravens are 5-9 ATS on the yr, which is tied for the worst mark within the NFL.
The decide: Patriots +3
Projected rating: Patriots 28-21
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, Stream: Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
I bought owned by Grandpa Rivers final week, as he simply coated the 14-point unfold in opposition to the Seattle Seahawks. However I am able to problem him once more with the 49ers coming to city. This wager is in regards to the 49ers offense as a lot as it’s the protection, making life powerful on Rivers. I believe it might be powerful for the Colts protection to decelerate Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, George Kittle and Jauan Jennings with out beginning cornerbacks Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward, plus defensive deal with DeForest Buckner.
I believe the atmosphere at Lucas Oil Stadium goes to be superior, and that the Colts do sufficient to maintain the sport inside placing distance. Nonetheless, I’ve the 49ers finally overlaying six factors.
The decide: 49ers -6
Projected rating: 49ers 24-16
Different Week 16 picks
Rams (+1.5) 24-20 over Seahawks
Eagles (-7) 28-20 over Commanders
Payments (-10.5) 24-13 over Browns
Chiefs (-3) 24-20 over Titans
Chargers (+1.5) 30-24 over Cowboys
Vikings (-3) 20-14 over Giants
Bengals (-4.5) 24-16 over Dolphins
Jaguars (+3) 27-23 over Broncos
Falcons 27-26 over Cardinals (+3)
Lions (-7) 30-20 over Steelers
Texans (-14.5) 30-10 over Raiders
