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World markets jolted, euro softens, as Trump vows tariffs on Europe over Greenland

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Last updated: January 18, 2026 8:06 pm
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World markets jolted, euro softens, as Trump vows tariffs on Europe over Greenland
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By Karin Strohecker, Dhara Ranasinghe and Samuel Indyk

LONDON, Jan 18 (Reuters) – International markets are going through volatility after President Donald Trump vowed to slap tariffs on eight European nations till the U.S. is allowed to purchase Greenland, information that pushed the euro to a seven-week low in late Sunday buying and selling.

Trump stated he would impose ​an extra 10% import tariff from February 1 on items from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Britain, which is able to rise to 25% on June ‌1 if no deal is reached.

Main European Union states decried the tariff threats over Greenland as blackmail on Sunday. France proposed responding with a spread of beforehand untested financial countermeasures.

As early commerce kicked off in Asia-Pacific, the euro fell ‌0.2% to round $1.1572, its lowest since November. Sterling additionally dipped, whereas the yen firmed in opposition to the greenback.

“Hopes that the tariff state of affairs has calmed down for this 12 months have been dashed for now – and we discover ourselves in the identical state of affairs as final spring,” stated Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding.

Trump’s sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs in April 2025 despatched shockwaves by markets. Buyers then largely seemed previous U.S. commerce threats within the second half of the 12 months, viewing them as noise and responding with reduction as Trump made offers with Britain, the EU and others.

Whereas that lull may be over, market strikes on Monday ⁠could possibly be dampened by the expertise that investor sentiment had been ‌extra resilient than anticipated in 2025 and world financial development stayed on observe.

U.S. markets are closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which implies a delayed response on Wall Road.

The implications for the greenback had been much less clear. It stays a protected haven, however might additionally really feel the affect ‍of Washington being on the centre of geopolitical ruptures, because it did final April.

Bitcoin, a liquid proxy for danger that’s open to commerce on the weekend, was regular, final buying and selling at $95,330.

Capital Economics stated nations most uncovered to elevated U.S. tariffs had been the UK and Germany, estimating {that a} 10% tariff might cut back GDP in these economies by round 0.1%, whereas a 25% tariff might knock 0.2–0.3% off output.

European shares are ​close to file highs. Germany’s DAX and London’s FTSE index are up greater than 3% this month, outperforming the S&P 500, which is up 1.3%.

European defence shares will doubtless proceed to profit ‌from geopolitical tensions. Defence shares have jumped nearly 15% this month, because the U.S. seizure of Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro fuelled issues about Greenland.

Denmark’s intently managed crown can even doubtless be in focus. It has weakened, however fee differentials are a significant component and it stays near the central fee at which it’s pegged to the euro, and never removed from six-year lows.

“The U.S.-EU commerce battle is again on,” stated Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founding father of Fordham International Foresight.

Trump’s newest transfer got here as high officers from the EU and South American bloc Mercosur signed a free commerce settlement.

HOT SPOTS EVERYWHERE

The dispute over Greenland is only one scorching spot.

Trump has additionally weighed intervening in unrest in Iran, whereas a menace to indict Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has ⁠reignited issues in regards to the U.S. central financial institution’s independence.

In opposition to this backdrop, safe-haven gold remained close to file highs.

Given Trump’s ​current Fed assaults, an escalation with Europe might pile strain on the greenback if it provides to worries that ​U.S. coverage credibility is turning into critically impaired, stated Peel Hunt chief economist Kallum Pickering.

“(This) could possibly be amplified by a need, particularly amongst Europeans, to repatriate capital and shun U.S. belongings, which can additionally pose draw back dangers to lofty U.S. tech valuations,” he added.

The World Financial Discussion board’s annual danger notion survey, launched earlier than ‍its annual assembly in Davos subsequent week, which ⁠will probably be attended by Trump, recognized financial confrontation between nations because the primary concern changing armed battle.

A supply near French President Emmanuel Macron stated he was pushing for activation of the “Anti-Coercion Instrument”, which might restrict entry to public tenders, investments or banking exercise or limit commerce in companies, through which the U.S. has a surplus with ⁠the bloc, together with digital companies.

“With the U.S. web worldwide funding place at file adverse extremes, the mutual inter-dependence of European-U.S. monetary markets has by no means been greater,” stated Deutsche Financial institution’s world head of FX analysis George Saravelos in a ‌word.

“It’s a weaponization of capital reasonably than commerce flows that might by far be essentially the most disruptive to markets.”

(Reporting by Karin Strohecker, Dhara Ranasinghe and Samuel ‌Indyk in London and Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore; Enhancing by Alexander Smith and Nia Williams)

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Reading: World markets jolted, euro softens, as Trump vows tariffs on Europe over Greenland
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